The Betfair Football £10 Bet of the Day
Day 64: We're backing Nacional to beat Maritimo at [2.32]
For the third day running, we're putting our faith in a home team on the continent who have been given odds of above evens, with our money this evening going on Nacional at [2.32] to defeat Maritimo in the Portuguese top-flight in an encounter Betfair customers can watch on Betfair Live Video.
Maritimo finished two points ahead of their fierce Madeiran rivals last season but Nacional have been by far the more impressive performers so far in this campaign and are currently fourth from top while their visitors are fourth from bottom, eight points behind them.
The basic statistics all stack up in Nacional's favour - they won this fixture last season, they've been victorious in every home game this terms besides the ones against top two Porto and Vitoria Guimaraes (even beating champions Benfica), while Maritimo are yet to triumph away.
The only reason for their lengthy price therefore must be that punters are wary of Maritimo's recent improvement, having gone four league without losing. Only one of those was won though, against bottom club Naval, while the three draws came against sides outside the top six, so this is a significant step up, in which we expect them to come up short.
Our bet: We're backing Nacional to beat Maritimo at [2.32], meaning that - before factoring in commission - we stand to win £13.20. The same punt pays only £9.09 with Ladbrokes. Sign up for a new account now and have losing bets up to a total of £30 refunded for a week.
Published: 12 Nov 2010
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