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African Nations Cup Day 12 Tips: Black Stars will shine, Cameroon set to stumble

Fenerbahce and Ghana winger Andre Ayew
Ghana will look to captain Andre Ayew to produce yet another inspirational performance

Some of the tournament favourites face stiff tests as the group phases reaches its conclusion on Tuesday, writes James Eastham...

"Wahbi Khazri scored in Tunisia's 1-1 draw against Mali and will relish the opportunity to show the quality he can produce in the final third against weak opposition."

Best Bet: Tunisia -1.0 Asian Handicap v Mauritania @ 2.111/10

Benin strong enough to spring surprise

Benin v Cameroon
Tuesday July 2, 17:00 BST
Live on Eurosport 1

Cameroon are in a commanding position at the top of Group F but this promises to be a real challenge for the Indomitable Lions. Cameroon have four points, with Benin tied with Ghana on two points.

While Cameroon have a two-point advantage there's been little discernible difference in standard when you look at the performances these two sides have produced. Cameroon needed two second-half goals to beat Guinea Bissau 2-0 before playing out a 0-0 draw with Ghana. Benin also drew with Ghana (2-2) but slipped up when they failed to beat Guinea Bissau (0-0) despite being the better side.

As a result, it's surprising to find Cameroon as short as 1.9110/11 to win. Benin are 5.59/2, with The Draw 3.39/4. At those prices the smart move would be to oppose Cameroon, so consider backing Benin to win, backing The Draw or simply laying Cameroon to win.

Ghana to show their class up front

Guinea Bissau v Ghana
Tuesday July 2, 17:00 BST
Live on Eurosport 2

Ghana need to win to be sure of qualifying for the knockout phase and the Black Stars should have no problem seeing off a weak Guinea Bissau. Ghana are 1.454/9, with Guinea Bissau 10.09/1 and The Draw 4.03/1.

Ghana began their campaign with a 2-2 draw against Benin before another stalemate in their second match versus Cameroon (0-0). They're very good at exciting people with the quality they have up top - Andre and Jordan Ayew were on the scoresheet against Benin, with Christian Atsu in a supporting role - but the clean sheet against Cameroon showed they can defend as well.

Guinea Bissau scraped a draw against Benin but have yet to score in two matches. Their paucity of quality in the final third is the main reason they will struggle to pick up points here. With Ghana short odds-on to pick up the three points, back the favourites at bigger odds on the Asian Handicap instead. For a guide to Asian Handicap betting, click here.

Favourites good enough to triumph

Angola v Mali
Tuesday July 2, 20:00 BST
Live on Eurosport 1

Mali are top of Group E on four points, while Angola have two points and still harbour hopes of making it through to the knockout phase. As a result this should be a highly competitive match in which both teams look to win.

Mali are the stronger of the two sides. They thrashed Mauritania 4-1 in their opening game before earning a well-deserved point against Tunisia (1-1). They'd almost certainly top the group by only drawing here, but they'll look to use their speed and precision to pick off Angola on the break and collect all three points.

Angola need to try to win or they risk missing out on qualification altogether. They're 4.57/2 to claim victory, with Mali 2.111/10 and The Draw 3.02/1. At odds-against Mali are worth backing to make their superior quality pay off.

Khazri to inspire Tunisia win

Mauritania v Tunisia
Tuesday July 2, 20:00 BST
Live on Eurosport 2

Mauritania look like the Group E whipping boys and it should certainly play out that way when they face Tunisia on Tuesday night. Tunisia need to win to be sure of claiming a place in the knockout phase and they're a very good bet to collect all three points.

Alain Giresse's favourites look stronger than Mauritania all over the pitch. Tunisia have yet to win but are yet to lose, either - they drew 1-1 against Angola and then recorded the same scoreline versus Mali. Wahbi Khazri scored against Mali and will relish the opportunity to show the quality he can produce in the final third against weak opposition.

Mauritania were thrashed 4-1 by Mali in their opening game before scraping a 0-0 draw against Angola. They actually still have slim hopes of qualifying for the knockout phase themselves but will have to take risks to get the win they need, which will play straight into Tunisia's hands. Tunisia are quick and sharp on the break and will look to take advantage of that here.

Tunisia are 1.68/13 to win, with Mauritania 7.613/2 and The Draw 3.711/4. As Tunisia are capable of winning by two or more goals back the favourites at bigger odds on the Asian Handicap.

James’ tournament P/L

Staked: 32pts
Returned: +33.76pts
P/L: +1.76pts

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