St Lucia T10 Blast Day Ten Tips: Repos eye Blasters upset

Lions didn't miss Charles
Johnson Charles

Ed Hawkins previews Friday's double header from the Daren Sammy Stadium in the ten-over thrash and bash...

"In Kemani Melius, the Windies under-19 hitter, Blasters have the player of the tournament. He has already blasted an unbeaten century"

South Castries Lions v Central Castries Mindoo
Friday 3 May 17:30
TV: live on Dream 11 Fan App/YouTube

Lions roaring

Who needs Daren Sammy and Johnson Charles anyway? After waiting for four matches to get their stellar pair on the field, the Lions proved they are not that important performers with an easy win over Sulphir.

Alex Antoine smashed 79 off just 37 balls after Charles had fallen for a golden duck. The imposing total of 120 was always going to be too much for Sulphir and Sammy watched on as his bowlers did the work with ease.

Probable Lions XI J Charles, A Antoine, T Simon, C Callendar, D Sammy, X Gabriel, M Monrose, A Joseph, N Leo, D Baptise, T Edward

Castries have a two-point cushion from fifth and are sitting pretty for a semi-final berth. They gave Ackeem Auguste, the Windies wunderkind, his head by opening the batting with him against the Raiders and the move paid off.
Auguste hit 43 off 18 to set up a total of 126. Raiders were hopeless in reply, managing just 65 as the Mindoo bowlers squeezed the life out of their campaign.

Probable Castries Mindoo XI S Naitrim, G Prospere, K Lesporis, Aleyn Prospere, A Auguste, J James, J Eugene, K Arnold, Alvin Prospere, D John, E Elibox

There's a bit more room in the Lions price this time at [1.52]. If that was to hold with the toss in their favour they should win comfortably.

Gros Islet Cannon Blasters v Mon Repos Stars
Friday 3 May 19:30
TV: live on Dream 11 Fan App/YouTube

Mindoo could be taken on


Blasters top the table on run rate from the Lions and, fingers crossed, they will meet in the final as they are head and shoulders above everybody else.

In Kemani Melius, the Windies under-19 hitter, Blasters have the player of the tournament. He has already blasted an unbeaten century. Actually, he's already blasted one of the best innings you will ever see in the format. Standard is low but 103 from 34 is something.

Probable Blasters XI K Melius, T Gabriel, D Edward, D Polius, G Serieux, V Gabriel, L Solomon, Dane Edward, L Edwards, T Chicot, Dornan Edward

A win for Repos would put them level on points with Blasters. They have been a solid, competitive outfit thus far and their only defeat came against the Lions.

It was a close thing, too. The margin was only four runs. We are impressed with their bowling unit and if they can nick out Menius early they are bang in the game.

Probable Repos XI S Charles, S Emmanuel (wkt), M Wells, K Augustin, R Lesmond, H Charlery, C Charlery, S Descartes, C Emmanuel, K Gaston, D Henry, J Lesmond

A wager on Repos looks to be our best option on day ten. They are currently [2.52], which is chunky given their form is far from shabby and their bowlers shrewd. We want a trade, though. Batting first, that price will take a hit but [2.30] could still be available. A score of 90 or more should be enough to get those odds below [2.0] given how important such a run rate has been in propelling teams to victory.

Bat first

Here are the first-innings scores so far at the Daren Sammy Cricket Stadium (1-2 denote match won by side batting first or second): 126-1/126-1/110-1/83-2/100-2/119-1/82-2/75-2/93-1/93-1/173-1/85-1/82-2/103-1/101-1/82-2/166-1/129-1/152-1/90-2. That is an average of 108. It is seven wins from 20 for the chaser. That is a bias of 65% for the side batting first.

Batting first is a must, then, allowing wearing tracks and scoreboard pressure to do the rest. Previously T10 sides have struggled to know what a decent score is. Not in these Caribbean pop-up leagues. Nine an over is the target and only Suplhir (three times now) have failed to defend nine or more.

In the Vincy Premier League, where all matches were played at the same venue, there was a similar bias for the side batting first. Previously in T10 history, first-innings scores of 100 are enough 60% of the time and more than 110 returns a winner 80% of the time. Only once has a side lost posting 100 or more in this tourney.

The last ten first-innings T20 scores at the DSCS (1-2 denote match won by side bat-ting first or second) read: 103-2/185-1/165-2/172-1/160-2/109-1/115-2/185-1.

***

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