South Africa v Zimbabwe Second ODI Betting: Watch out for Klaasen show
With the hosts one up in the series, Ed Hawkins previews game two from Bloemfontein on Wednesday and suggests the master blasters can do damage...
"Punters will be going back in again on Taylor for honours. As Hawk Eye said in game one, he should be shorter than 7/2"
South Africa v Zimbabwe
Wednesday 3 October 12:00 BST
Live on Sky Sports
South Africa batters fail to impress
South Africa's bowlers dominated Zimbabwe's batsmen in game one to ensure the contest was effectively over by the 20th over. Brendan Taylor, Zimbabwe's best batsman, was fifth out with the score on 53 and the game was up.
The tourists managed only 117 all out and with their last batsmen went any hope that they might put a better show than in any of the previous 27 consecutive thrashings against their neighbours. Lungi Ngidi and Kagiso Rabada did the damage, claiming five wickets apiece. It's a new-ball pairing good enough to keep Dale Steyn waiting for his return to the fold.
Still, the hosts could hardly be bullish about their batting. The result was never in doubt but they wouldn't have expected to lose five wickets in the chase. With Hashim Amla, Faf Du Plessis and Quinton de Kock missing the selectors are looking for new blokes to stick their hand up. Heinrich Klaasen did with 44 from as many balls. But Reeza Hendricks, Aiden Markram and Christiaan Jonker all disappointed.
Another hammering for Zims
Were there any crumbs of comfort for Zimbabwe? Well, they could perhaps argue they might be competitive if Graeme Cremer and Sikandar Raza were available against a weaker South Africa batting line-up. But they're not.
It is also true that they were probably beaten before a ball was bowled. For a huge upset like a Zimbabwe win, they really needed the hefty toss bias to go in their favour rather than against them.
All-rounder Elton Chigumbura showed decent fight with the bat. With the ball, a big tick for Tendai Chatara, who claimed two wickets for just 12 runs in his six overs. Chatara is slippery right-arm and his record in ODIs is strong with 78 wickets in 58. Imagine how good he could be with some support.
Expect big runs
Bloemfontein is a good batting wicket to put it mildly. Two years ago England made 399 but won by only 39 runs under D-L Method. Jos Buttler and De Kock both thrashed centuries so the hitters should be to the fore. South Africa really should be looking for 320 or more as a minimum. It is trickier to get a handle on what Zimbabwe should be capable of. Betfair Sportsbook pitched their runs over/under at 180.5 before suspension. The track is good enough to tempt overs even if their batsmen are not.
Klaasen to the fore
There's little room for manoeuvre on the match odds. South Africa are [1.07] and Zimbabwe [13.5]. We could try to make a case for a trade on the Zims but, frankly, after game one their odds are inclined to go stratospheric pretty darn quick.
We are left with speculative value punts as an option. One which catches the eye is the man of the match price for Klaasen. Like Buttler and De Kock he is the sort of reckless hitter who will swing through the line there with abandon. It could pay off. He is 12/1 with Betfair Sportsbook.
For the same reason, Klaasen could be worth following on the top South Africa runscorer market. He is expected to bat at No 4 and his big bat could outstrip others. The 9/2 with Sportsbook could see some business, likewise the 7/1 he is top match runscorer. Hendricks, another blaster, is also worth a mention at 7/2.
Taylor still a bet
Punters will be going back in again on Taylor for honours. As Hawk Eye said in game one, he should be shorter than 7/2. Chigumbura is 9/1. Solomon Mire, who has a solid record against the big boys, could go better on a flatter track. He is 9/2.
Ed Hawkins P-L
Based only on available prices. Does not include back-to-lay in-running match advice or commission rate. Figures 2013-2016 on 1pt level stakes. New points system (0.5pt-5) introduced for 2017. Includes Hawk-Eye stats column p-l