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Michael Vaughan: India to wrap it up on Day 4

The England batsman have struggled against the spin of Ojha, pictured, and Ashwin

"I can't see England getting more than 250, so I'll be laying that in the Innings Runs market, at 1.635/8."

Fresh from training at Wembley for this weekend's Strictly, Michael Vaughan gives us his in-running tips on the First Test, with England already in huge trouble after Day 2. He is expecting India to finish the job early


As expected, spin is proving to be England's downfall, with Ashwin and Ouja doing the damage in the evening session. The batsman have got to find a method of playing the spinners - you can't block all day.

Being so far behind (480 with seven wickets in hand, to be precise) is the hardest position for a batsman to be in, because you get caught in two minds. You need to protect your wicket, but if you get too negative you can get bogged down. 

The toss was always to be a key one to win, but even if England had batted first I couldn't see them scoring big against the spinners, so they were always going to struggle.

Jimmy Anderson's quick dismissal will have opened up the nightwatchman debate again. There is a place for them, but it's hard for lower order batsman to face spin with men around the bet as they rarely see them. 

My bets

India - our pre-match tip at 2.68/5 - have come in to 1.3130/100 and to be honest I wouldn't put you off from backing even at those short odds, as it's pretty much nailed on.

But there is still value to be found. I can't see England getting more than 250, so I'll be laying that in the Innings Runs market, at 1.635/8.

Given that I see England struggling, an early finish is on the cards, with Day 4 Evening the most likely, currently trading at 2.26/5.

Alastair Cook is favourite to be England's top first innings batsman, with 22 runs on the board, but I'll be having some of Kevin Pietersen here at 3.02/1. He won't be fazed by the situation.

Keep Dancing...

It's a big weekend for Strictly as we hit Wembley. It's been a physically tough week for me as I've got three huge lifts to do for my American Smooth dance - with movement, not from a standing start - but I'm confident I'll do OK. As ever, I'll do my best and have a laugh and hopefully do enough to impress the judges and the voting public. 

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16 November 2012

England Cricket


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