England have been hammered by New Zealand in consecutive games yet still trade as [1.64] favourites to win the third and final ODI.
Frankly, that's madness, and the tourists have to be the match odds bet for Wednesday's day-nighter at Trent Bridge at [2.52].
Ashley Giles will be desperate to get a win before the Champions Trophy gets under way and will surely make changes to his side with the bowling looking in dire need of a shakeup.
Save for Jimmy Anderson in the first ODI no-one has impressed with the ball with Jade Dernbach and Chris Woakes being particularly expensive.
I feel for Dernbach as I don't think the new ODI rules have suited him. The Surrey man used to bowl very well with the old ball and the fielding restrictions have worked against him too. I don't think he'll be in the team at Trent Bridge, with Woakes and Anderson also sitting this one out. Steven Finn and Stuart Broad are said to be fit again and, alongside James Treadwell, they should come in to the side.
But even though these changes should make England stronger with the ball, you still have to make New Zealand the bet.
The Kiwis have been playing well and are full of confidence in the 50 over game. Their batting has been phenomenal so far with power throughout the order and plenty of men getting in the runs, none more so than Martin Guptil, who has been top quality. Scoring 189 at the Rose Bowl was a phenomenal effort and I really don't think enough has been made of that achievement.
Guptil is the favourite to top score for New Zealand but I will take a chance on his best mate Ross Taylor topping the charts. The former captain has also been in fine touch, making a pair of half-centuries in both ODIs.
Too many English batsmen are out of form - Ian Bell, Eoin Morgan and Jos Buttler are yet to do anything of note in the two ODIs so far - and I have to return to a regular favourite of this column, Jonathan Trott, for my top England batsman bet.
Trott sneaked us a winner with his 37 in the first ODI, outscoring Woakes by one run, and this determined competitor is always worth a wager at what are generally decent odds - [4.8] in this instance.