Paul Krishnamurty updates the match details and markets after the third day of the final, decisive test of England's winter tour...
Latest Score: New Zealand 443 & 35/3, England 204
Match Odds: New Zealand 1.594/7, Draw 3.7511/4, England 9.417/2
England stand on the brink of a humiliating series defeat following a disastrous first innings in Auckland. Besides the honorable exception of Matt Prior, none of their batsmen ever settled into a scoring rhythm as they were bowled out for just 204, well short of the follow on target. There is some slight hope, however, as they took three early New Zealand wickets after Brendon McCullum chose not to impose the follow-on.
For that reason, it is possible to lay back the bet on England advised yesterday at 12.5n/a at roughly three points shorter. I will, however, be waiting for a bit shorter as the match looks like becoming a straight run chase. Currently 274 behind, if England could restrict the target to below 425 then I'd expect to be able to lay back at around 5.04/1. Now 22 wickets have fallen in the last two days, the draw is fast becoming the least likely result, although given the unreliable weather forecasts seen during this series, that assessment cannot be stated with massive confidence.
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