Sunrisers Hyderabad v Delhi Capitals: Visitors' batters to prove the difference
Having successfully tipped Delhi as considerable outsiders last time out when they won, Jamie Pacheco thinks the Delhi Capitals can strike once again.
"The key here will be how the Capitals play the brilliant Khan in those middle overs but if one or more of those Delhi youngsters go after him and start finding a few boundaries off his bowling, then that would represent a big dent in the hosts’ chances."
Sunrisers need to get overseas selection spot on
The Sunrisers are doing okay. Three wins from six matches and they'll surely improve as the tournament progresses.
In David Warner and Johnny Bairstow they have one of the better opening partnerships in the IPL and a lot will depend on those two.
It's a big gamble to leave out Kane Williamson, their skipper and the IPL's top batsman last campaign, to make way for the two just mentioned plus star bowler Rashid Khan and all-rounder Mohammad Nabi- who provides the all-important balance- but it's probably the right move in light of Williamson's low strike rate and only time will tell whether the Sunrisers' think-thank have got this one right.
You do however have to wonder if the inclusion of Yusuf Pathan is a smart move, though. He very rarely bowls these days, he bats at six or seven and is a passenger in the field. He may have played some iconic knocks in the IPL over the years but they have been few and far between over the past two seasons or so.
Capitals' batsmen can do plenty of damage
I'm pretty chuffed at having tipped Delhi's destructive batting line-up to down the Kolkata Knight Riders and I think it's fair to say that the nice thing about backing Delhi is that they have not two or three but five batsmen who are more than capable of winning any match from any position. Last time out it was Shikhar Dhawan playing an extraordinary knock but next time it could be someone else.
It would be a big ask for a side with so many talented but inexperienced youngsters to go all the way but this is T20 cricket and it only takes a fearless knock from the likes of Rishabh Pant or PP Shaw to blow any team away.
In light of what I've just said, no prizes for guessing where this is going. The Sunrisers are always an excellent side but as ever, this is a numbers game and there's certainly value about going with Delhi again at 11/8. The key here will be how the Capitals play the brilliant Khan in those middle overs but if one or more of those Delhi youngsters go after him and start finding a few boundaries off his bowling, then that would represent a big dent in the hosts' chances.
Delhi are a good price as considerable outsiders and that's the simple but smart bet in this match.
I said last time out that Colin Ingram was a silly price at 9/1 to top score for Delhi and unfortunately the Betfair Sportsbook odds compilers have realised the error of their ways and chopped him to just 4/1 despite the fact that he didn't top score last time out.
But if you really want to play this market, go with Shaw at 7/2. He holds the trump cards of opening the batting and being able to score as quickly as anyone in this tournament and sooner or later he'll play a big innings rather than the cameos that have been the hallmark of his knocks more often than not.
Pant is short enough at 16/5 and we don't like how Ingram's odds have been halved for no good reason so Shaw is the smart bet on this market.
Consider this: Kasigo Rabada is the IPL's top wicket-taker with 13 wickets, two more than anyone else.
So he's in red hot form and he's just the sort of player who keeps on being a menace when he's in the mood. We know that man of the match candidates tend to come from the winning side so if you believe that Delhi have a good chance but don't want to take the 11/8 about them just winning the match then you could do worse than going with the South African speedster at 12/1 to be man-of-the-match.
You can also go with Nabi at the same price and you can't complain about not getting a good run for your money with him. He should bowl his four overs and will bat at four or five so he'll always be in with a shout.