IPL Betting: Chennai Super Kings v Mumbai Indians

Dwayne Bravo is part of a superb Chennai line-up
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Ed Hawkins, the SJA Betting Writer of the Year, previews a mouthwatering contest and expects Mumbai to go close to a win

"At the least we can trust Mumbai to trade as favourites and a back-to-lay is the order of the day"

Recommended bet
Back-to-lay Mumbai at [2.22] to [1.80]

Chennai Super Kings v Mumbai Indians
Start time; 15.30BST
TV: live on ITV4

The two-time champions look like the team to beat once again and it is easy to see why. They have got the lot in terms of hitters, finishers, all-rounders, spinners and death bowlers. But they are not at full strength for this test. Faf du Plessis and Albie Morkel are unavailable. Du Plessis could be out for a month with injury while Morkel is on South African domestic duty. Nuwan Kulasekara and Akila Dananjaya will not be available for their home games as Sri Lankan players have been banned from playing in the state.

Mumbai are licking their wounds following a sorry loss to Bangalore when they appeared to be cruising to victory. They went down by two runs when needing 10 off the last over with seven wickets remaining. It was a rude awakening for Ricky Ponting, the Mumbai skipper, who was making his IPL debut. "I think I may have no finger nails left," he said. There were some encouraging performances from Mumbai. Jasprit Bumrah, also on debut, took three wickets. Harbhajan Singh and Jacob Oram were also shrewd with the ball. Lasith Malinga is also set to return to the side after sitting out game one.

First-innings runs
Here are the first-innings scores from the 2012 season at the MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chepauk: 112-205-164-146-156-139-160-114-222-190. That is an average of 161. With the batting talent on show we should expect a total of 160 or more. Not surprisingly there is no rain forecast.

Match odds
Chennai are the [1.74] jollies for this one with the Indians approaching whopping status at [2.22]. Granted the Super Kings more than live up to their name but should it be that a team with as many match winners as Mumbai - Tendulkar, Pollard, Sharma, Harbhajan, Malinga - are as big? One wonders whether there is a concerted effort to get Mumbai money. At the least we can trust Mumbai to trade as favourites and a back-to-lay is the order of the day as we would expect the odds to flip flop at some stage. Chennai are rusty compared to Mumbai. Mumbai won in Chennai last term and triumphed in the other group encounter. However, Chennai won in the knockouts.

Top Chennai runscorer
The Supers should have a top seven of Michael Hussey, Murali Vijay, Suresh Raina, Sub Badrinath, MS Dohni, Dwayne Bravo and Ravindra Jadeja. Useful, no? Dhoni top scored the last time the sides met with a half-century if that helps guide you through this embarrassment of riches. He is [4.50] at the moment but that will surely drift as it's poor value. Vijay and Raina, [4.00] and [4.30], respectively may be the most popular choices.

Top Mumbai runscorer
Dinesh Karthik played superbly against Bangalore with 60 from 37 balls but he failed to finish the job. He is [4.50]. Ponting and Tendulkar look criminally short at [3.50]. Rohit Sharma is [4.30].

Recommended bet
Back-to-lay Mumbai at [2.22] to [1.80]

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