IPL Betting: Pune Warriors v Hyderabad Sunrisers

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Ed Hawkins does not agree with the match odds and reckons Pune are too short for the early game on Wednesday

"Pune have superior batting but with such a good bowling attack Hyderabad are a real match"

Recommended bet
Hyderabad at [2.34]

Pune Warriors v Hyderabad Sunrisers
Start time: 11:30BST
TV: live on ITV4

Pune should be full of vim and vigour following their 'surprise' victory over the Chennai Super Kings in Chennai on Monday, correctly called by Richard O'Hagan of this parish. And they did it without their captain Angelo Mathews, who, of course, is banned from playing in the state because he is Sri Lankan. Ross Taylor stood in and the 24-run win was testament to his abilities as a leader. Taylor got a big call right by bringing back Mitchell Marsh despite being expensive in his first spell. He was deadly and wrapped up the game. Mathews should return, however, which is harsh on Steven Smith who was blistering with the bat and caught everything in the deep.

The Sunrisers are waiting patiently for the return from injury of their star batsman, Shikhar Dhawan. He has a fractured hand suffered during the Mohali Test against Australia last month. The game was his debut Test and he shot to fame with 187, the fastest by a debutant in Test history. Coach Tom Moody said he would be back in "the next 10 days". Sunrisers were clinging on to a top four spot before Tuesday's games but they suffered a heavy defeat by Kolkata Knight Riders last time out. Paceman Hanuma Vihari's place is under threat after an expensive one-over effort.

Innings runs
Here are the totals from last season's matches at the Subrata Roy Sahara Stadium: 166-155-146-177-120-125-173-136-162. This is an average of 151. Six from nine last season were won by the side defending a target. It is a tricky market to bet with confidence, however, because of the varying totals in that debut season for the ground.

Match odds
As impressive as Pune were against Chennai, it is difficult to believe that such a victory is deserving of such a gulf in price between these two. The Warriors are as short as [1.68] with Hyderabad [2.34]. Perhaps it is a case of punters betting on momentum. After all, Hyderabad were awful against KKR. But we would not expect them to be as bad again. Or to put it another way, we do not expect Dale Steyn and Ishant Sharma to repeat such a powder-puff show. They are stonking value as a back-to-lay and you should collect a few clicks when they trade as favourites. If trading is not for you then there is nothing wrong whatsoever in letting the Sunrisers run. Pune have superior batting but with such a good bowling attack Hyderabad are a real match. Useful Twitter handles to follow include yours truly @cricketbetting and the shrewd in-running advice of @salmanvictor. Victor favours Hyderabad also and tweeted they were his tip just before the off.

Top Pune batsman
Aaron Finch may look like he could do with losing a few pounds but if he did he might not be able to biff it as hard. So far he is Pune's go-to man, notching 131 runs at a strike rate of 132 in the opening berth. Robin Uthappa, who oozes class, has 108 runs.

Top Hyderabad batsman
The Sunrisers need some runs from Kumar Sangakkara. He has just 84 so far and at a strike rate of under 100, too. Thisara Perera is their top bat with 115 runs. Cameron White is next best with 105.

Recommended bet
Hyderabad at [2.34]

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