Fresh from yet another winning tip, Jamie Pacheco looks at the Mumbai top bowler and the Delhi top bat markets for the best wagers this time round...
"Bumrah is 5/2 with Malinga 11/4 and there’s a further reason why we like the Sri Lankan beyond price. Delhi’s youngsters with the bat won’t have seen much of Malinga’s unorthodox action in the flesh given Malinga didn’t play in the IPL last year and will have seen lots of Bumrah on the domestic circuit and on India duty."
Delhi Capitals v Mumbai Indians
Thursday April 18, 15:30
Live on BT Sport 1
Capitals proving they're not just about the batting
The Delhi Capitals have so far provided us with winners at 23/20 when they beat Kolkata and 11/8 when they beat the Sunrisers Hyderabad, so they're in our good books right now.
My reasoning on both occasions was their formidable batting line-up where their fearless top order can blow anyone away. Having said that, it was overseas duo Kasigo Rabada and Keemo Paul who saved the day last time out, taking three and four wickets respectively after David Warner and Jonny Bairstow got the hosts off to a good start, chasing 156. Paul was a bit of an under-the-radar player coming into the IPL but has proved a great find.
After an excellent 40 off 24 balls, Kiwi basher Colin Munro should keep his place, meaning Colin Ingram misses out again. They could prove tough cookies to beat if they can be counted on in the two main disciplines.
Mumbai always in the running
Mumbai have five wins from eight games, same as the Capitals. Last time out they beat Bangalore but then again, that's not saying much.
The worrying thing for those who laid Mumbai for IPL glory is that they have a habit of getting better as the tournament progresses so watch out before opposing them. Rohit Sharma (below) has been good as skipper this year, by the way.
Last time out there were solid contributions from five different batsmen- they all got to at least 20 - meaning this is no one-man team. Then again, if you wanted to be critical you could point out none of them got to 50.
But their match-winner was 35-year old Lasith Malinga. He was expensive admittedly but he took four wickets so we'll forgive him the high economy rate. Jasprit Bumrah on the other hand didn't take any but was miserly, going for just 5.5 an over in a high-scoring match.
Are we going in again on the Capitals as outsiders after being two from two when we did so before? No, not quite. On both occasions they were bigger prices than the 11/10 they are here against teams we thought had weaknesses they could exploit.
Their batting may be on a par with Mumbai this time round but it's the Indians who arguably have the better bowling attack so the prices look about right.
We're not just sticking with the Capitals because they've been good to us in the past. That's not how it works.
As ever, this game is about value and there's some of it in the form of skipper SS Iyer. He's top scorer for the side with 266 runs and has passed 40 on four occasions, on one of which he went on to get 67.
He'll probably bat at four and whereas that is normally a deterrent, it's not so much here because as we've said already, the Delhi top order is so aggressive that he may well come to the crease after three or four overs.
He's a far more attractive option on price at 4/1 than the likes of Shikhar Dhawan (16/5), Prithvi Shaw (7/2) and Rishabh Pant (7/2) who bats a place lower than him anyway.
The numbers suggest Iyer is certainly due to top score soon and he's a very decent price to do so here.
Lasith Malinga (seven wickets) is just one wicket behind Bumrah. Hardik Pandya is also on seven but bowls far less overs than the other two so doesn't give you a good run for your money.
Bumrah is 5/2 with Malinga 11/4 and there's a further reason why we like the Sri Lankan beyond price. Delhi's youngsters with the bat won't have seen much of Malinga's unorthodox action in the flesh given Malinga didn't play in the IPL last year and will have seen lots of Bumrah on the domestic circuit.
It may seem like a small detail but in what could be a shoot-out between the two strike bowlers, it's a further reason why we should go with the 'old-timer'.
Jamie's 2019 IPL P and L