India v Sri Lanka
Start time: 08.00GMT
TV: live on Sky Sports
With the series wrapped up India have revamped their squad ahead of the final two ODIs. The most important news, however, is that MS Dhoni will not return as had been expected. He is suffering from a hand injury. Out go Shikhar Dhawan, significant because of his runscoring prowess, Ravi Jadeja, Amit Mishra, Wriddhiman Saha, Ishant Sharma and Murali Vijay. In come Rohit Sharma, who should open in place of Dhawan, Robin Uthappa, who will keep wicket, Vinay Kumar, leggie Karn Sharma and batsman Kedar Jadav.
Sri Lanka have shuffled their pack too. Not that they had a choice. They are yet to be competitive so something had to be done. The most notable is the resting of Kumar Sangakkara. Just when gamblers were desperate for Sri Lanka to show some fight, they axe one of their best batsman. Dinesh Chandimal has been called up and is expected to take the gloves. There are also spots for Shaminda Eranga, Lahiru Thirimanne and Ajantha Mendis. The inclusion of Eranga and Mendis should give Sri Lanka more bite with the ball. Eranga's pace and experience will boost a powderpuff attack while Mendis's return was a must. He has just been named in the ICC one-day team of the year and the tourists have been crying out for a spinner with guile.
Eden Gardens is the spiritual home of Indian cricket and as impressive it is to those cricket fanatics who worship at its altar, bowlers tend not to be so keen. The first-innings average in the last ten years (eight matches) is a healthy 272. There have been three scores of 300 or more and one of 292 in that period. When the sides met there in 2009 they produced a run fest with India chasing Sri Lanka's 315 with 11 balls remaining.
If India bat first this time we would be confident of them breaching 275 or more. If you can get 1.9520/21-2.01/1 you should take it. We cannot, however, same the same about Sri Lanka's weakened batting.
So far this series has all been about desire. India have had it in spades, Sri Lanka left it at home and then told the world how they didn't fancy the challenge.
Do we now question India's professionalism after they rested a swathe of players? And what is their record like in dead rubbers? Both pertinent questions about 1.491/2 shots. Sri Lanka are 3.02/1.
Luckily for big hitters we can give them the benefit of the doubt. The inclusion of Sharma and Uthappa brings two hungry players desperate to make an impact. And, rather surprisingly, India have been pretty reliable at home in meaningless games, winning six from eight (all winning series) since 2010.
There is not much fun to be had backing Sri Lanka. It is hugely frustrating that Sangakkara has gone home. With him and Mendis in the team they would have been an easy pick at such a price, although it is possible they would not have been as big.
Unfortunately we have to recognise them as a value bet regardless. We say unfortunately because faith has largely been eroded and when you are relying on the coin toss to bet on a team you know all is not well.
No matter. It would be dereliction of duty not to point out the toss bias at Eden gardens. Only five matches from 15 under lights have been won by the side fielding first.
Top India Batsman
Sharma's return from injury will see him installed as around a 4.57/2 shot. It's not a bad shout as he is desperate to get going again. A class act, he reminded us all of his talent with a fine ton in the warm-up against the Lankans and it is arguable he should have been in from game one.
Top Sri Lanka Batsman
Some decent prices knocking around here. One from Lahiru Thirimanne and Kusal Perera will open with Tillakaratne Dilshan and at 5.85/1 and 6.411/2 respectively they are big for batters with the chance to bat for longest. Dilshan is 4.94/1 and Mahela Jaywardene 4.84/1. In the absence of Sangakkara it could be argued they should be shorter. Angelo Mathews is 5.95/1 when he was 6.05/1 with Sangakkara in the side.
Back India for 275 or more if they bat first at 1.9520/21
Back Sri Lanka if they bat first at 3.02/1