India v England 5th ODI Betting: England can climb the mountain

Keep your eyes on the game, if you can

Ed Hawkins, who is a good England performance away from a full house of winning bets from the series, says conditions in the early hours on Sunday should assist the tourists

"England should show some fight, their young, energetic team would have it no other way"

Back-to-lay England at 2.3811/8

India v England
Start time: 03.30GMT
TV: live on Sky Sports

India have put their woeful form of a couple of weeks ago behind them. Defeat by England in the Test series and then a reverse in the one-day international contests against Pakistan appear to have been forgotten, particularly after they came from behind to take the spoils here. With an unassailable lead it is perfectly possible that India will experiment with selection. Poor old Cheteshwar Pujara has been waiting for his chance all series and he may be beginning to question that he'll get a run out. But Gautam Gambhir's form has surely not been good enough for another selection as opener. Shami Ahmed, the pacer, may be rested after an expensive showing last time out. Ashok Dinda could come in. Amit Mishra, the spinner, could play if Ravi Ashwin is rested.

Must we keep saying it? Oh, okay then. Jade Dernbach is vulnerable. Another profligate show in Mohali - 6.21 an over - must surely mean Stuart Meaker is in for a starting chance. Alternatively Chris Woakes could replace Dernbach. That would strengthen the batting and as the Surrey man was not trusted with the new ball it wouldn't weaken the bowling, either. Craig Kieswetter's England career looks to be over for the time being after he was jettisoned from the New Zealand squads. His supporters will say that is harsh as he was forced into an unfamiliar 'engine room' role for England instead of being a blaster at the top of the order. England have a history of playing wicket-keepers in unfamiliar batting roles which is why currently there are 13 keepers still playing county cricket who England have tried. Danny Briggs, who looked certain to play, is out of the match with an ankle injury.

The Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association [HPCA] Stadium in Dharamsala is probably the most stunning in the world. Newlands or the Adelaide Oval don't come close to matching a vista of snow-capped Himalyan foothills. At 1,317 metres above sea level the ball will travel through the air more quickly. But any reckoning that the hosts will be better equipped in the thin air may be folly: India have never played there. The only ground form we have to go on is two under-19 internationals in 2005 which produced first-innings scores of 129 and 212. And by the way, the weather is set fair. Talk of snow was idle chitter-chatter.

Match odds
Punters rarely relish a dead rubber. Indeed, some are still smarting from Pakistan's under-par performance after they had the series wrapped up against India 2-0. It is perhaps harsh to doubt India's committment as they have, in fact, won their last four dead rubbers in series they have won. The match odds market does not trust them, though. At 1.715/7 they are the biggest for some time. England are 2.3811/8. It would be handy for us if England were to win as we are on a 3-2 India correct scoreline and we have hope because the conditions are not exactly favourable to the hosts. At the least England should show some fight, their young, energetic team would have it no other way. And if they can get their selection right (Dernbach!) and Steven Finn can stop giving reprieves to batsmen when knocking over the bails in his delivery stride, then a back-to-lay is on.

Top India runscorer
Suresh Raina top scored with an unbeaten 89 in Mohali to guide India to the 3-1 lead. He is the biggest of the available options at 6.4011/2 while Rohit Sharma, not to be confused with Rahul who top scored for those Indian youths back in 2005 at this venue, is 5.004/1.

Top England runscorer
With 185 runs Alastair Cook is England's top runscorer in the series. Kevin Pietersen is not far behind on 179. The duo are 4.30100/30 and 4.003/1 respectively. Joe Root, who has 132, is 6.005/1 and Eoin Morgan, a desperately disappointing 41, 7.006/1.

Recommended bet
Back-to-lay England at 2.3811/8

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