Ed Hawkins previews the final match of the tour for Pakistan at Old Trafford on Wednesday but is worried that their batting is not powerful enough...
"Imad Wasim, who impressed with some late-order skills in the ODI series, is no 3130/1 shot with Sportsbook"
England v Pakistan
Wednesday September 7, 18:30
TV: live on Sky Sports
England shuffled their pack with the ODI series won but they have named a full-strength squad for the shorter format. That means no rest, as yet, for Joe Root, Alex Hales and Moeen Ali.
The trio all sat out England's last T20 fixture against Sri Lanka. There was no place for Liam Dawson even before he was expensive in Pakistan's ODI victory in Cardiff. He took three wickets in that Lanka contest.
Ben Stokes, the all-rounder, is bowling again so England have the option of batting all the way down to No 11 with David Willey and Liam Plunkett also named
Tymal Mills, the Sussex T20 specialist, is included in the squad, however and he could go head-to-head with Mark Wood for the outright pacer slot.
Sarfaraz Ahmed, buoyed by finishing as the top runscorer in the ODI series, captains Pakistan with Azhar Ali making way. It's a squad which has three new names for the tour.
Sohail Tanvir, the deceptive quickie who bowls of the wrong foot, is recalled while Amad Butt, an uncapped 21-year-old pacer, is included. Khalid Latif, a batsman, is added.
There is no room for Sami Aslam, Yasir Shah, Umar Gul or Hasan Ali. That's a shame about Hasan as he finished as Pakistan's top wicket-taker in the ODI series. Mohammad Irfan keeps his spot alongside Wahab Riaz and Mohammad Amir.
There have been only five T20 matches at Old Trafford, two have been washed out. The completed first-innings scores (1-2 denoting game won by side batting first or second) read: 191-1/165-2/123-2. The last 10 scores in domestic T20 read: 124-1/149-1/131-1(14-over game)/204-1/149-2/131-2/137-2/231-2/137-2/191-1.
The average in county is 158. We would like to get against Pakistan to bust 150 here but the odds might not be right. It should be around 2.111/10 to lay but more likely you'll get 2.47/5 or higher.
Not much joy here, folks. England are 1.434/9 with Pakistan 3.259/4. If taking skinny prices is your thing then you won't find a complaint here.
Otherwise we would love to recommend a trade on Pakistan but we can't see it. Their batting is just not powerful enough. They are without four of their top six runscorers in this format in the last two years.
Can the notorious Manchester weather assist in a ten-over thrash and bash? No. The forecast is good so England really should win this comfortably.
Top England runscorer
Root hit an unbeaten 92 this term at Old Trafford in a Roses T20 defeat. He notched 68 against the Kiwis last summer. Jos Buttler, on his home ground, should feel comfortable and he blasted 23 off 11 balls in that Roses game. Root is likely to be around 4.216/5 and Buttler 5.59/2. Jason Roy and Alex Hales, the openers, will be around the 4.03/1 mark.
Top Pakistan runscorer
Sarfaraz didn't have much to beat in the ODI series. Only Azhar Ali threatened him briefly and with him out of the picture he is expected to go off sub 4.03/1 for honours. Shoaib Malik, Pakistan's highest runscorer in this format in the last two years, can be considered value at 7.06/1 on Sportsbook. Imad Wasim, who impressed with some late-order skills in the ODI series, is no 3130/1 shot with Sportsbook.
We'll have a plunge on Imad at half stakes for some fun - the price is clearly wrong - while the 1.834/5 with Sportsbook that Sarfaraz delivers 21.5 runs or more is for a bigger stake.
Ed Hawkins P-L
To £10 level stakes (unless otherwise stated), based only on available prices. Does not include back-to-lay in-running match advice or commission rate.
*Follow Ed on Twitter @cricketbetting