England v New Zealand Statistics: Lord's run fest for the hosts

The statistics suggest that Ian Bell can guide England to victory in the summer's opening Test match at Lord's

In the first of a brand new cricket stats column, Jaymes Monte looks through the record books and picks out some key pointers ahead of the first Test from Lord's this week

"Since July 2008, only one of nine Lord's Test matches have not seen a winner. England winning six of the eight matches they were involved in during that period."

Recommended Bet: Back England to win @ 2.01/1

England have lost only one of their last 14 Tests at Lord's
Only once in 15 matches have New Zealand come away from Lord's with a win, back in 1999 when they beat Nasser Hussain's England by nine wickets thanks in large part to eight wickets from Chris Cairns and a Matt Horne century.

However, four of the last six England-New Zealand clashes at Lord's have ended as a draw, including the most recent meeting in May 2008.

That drawn match was the fifth in a line of six successive Test match draws at Lord's, but since England drew with South Africa in July 2008 only one of nine matches have not seen a winner. England winning six of the eight matches they were involved in during that period.

Should the weather hold up, of which there is no guarantee, then the statistics suggest that the 2.01/1 about a victory for Alastair Cook's men are more than fair. New Zealand are justifiably big at odds of 15.014/1

Recommended Bet: Back England to win @ 2.01/1

England average over 400 in their last nine first innings at HQ
Over the last 10 matches played at Lord's the average first innings score is 335.35, with the team batting first averaging 411.1. Those statistics include a couple of dismal Pakistan innings when they scored just 74 against England and 148 against Australia in the space of six weeks.

Of course, these statistics offer no revelation that Lord's is an ideal batting track, but do reinforce the idea of going big on the first innings runs markets once liquid. Especially if England are batting first - the hosts average 446.56 in first innings in our sample pool.

Ian Bell averages over 60 and has three Lord's centuries
Alastair Cook is seventh on the list of all-time run scorers in Test matches at Lord's having accumulated 1088 runs at an average of 47.30 and with a high score of 106. The England captain has made three centuries and seven half centuries in 14 matches since 2006.

Next on the list, of those likely to be involved this week, is Ian Bell who averages a much more impressive 61.33 with three centuries and a top score of 199 from his 12 matches.

Matt Prior also averages an imposing 54.42 here having scored three half centuries and three triple figure scores in his 16 innings, while Jonathan Trott has scored 740 runs at an average of 74.00 in 11 innings, including a top score of 226.

The best bet here has to be a toss up between Trott at 5.04/1 and Bell at 6.05/1, with the slightly larger odds perhaps tipping it in favour of the latter. But despite his position towards the top of the list Cook is worth avoiding as the favourite in this market.

Recommended Bet: Back Bell top England run scorer @ 6.05/1

Finn averages more than three wickets per innings in short Lord's career
While there can be some discussion about the Top England Batsman market, in terms of statistics there is little argument to be made about England's gun bowler. James Anderson has 51 wickets in 12 Test matches here, and Stuart Broad has 39 in 18, both featuring in the top 10 all-time wicket takers at HQ. But it is Steven Finn's record of 25 wickets in just four matches, including a five-for, that jumps from the page.

Finn's economy rate may not be the best, at 3.62, but that doesn't concern us in this market. Statistically speaking Finn is a standout bet at odds of 3.814/5 to be England's top wicket taker over the two-match series.

Recommended Bet: Back Finn top England series wicket taker @ 3.814/5 (price quoted based on our Sportsbook product so exempt from commission)

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