England v Australia Second ODI Betting: Back Warner to fire Aussies

Warner should find the pitch to his liking
Warner should find the pitch to his liking

Ed Hawkins casts his eye over the second contest between these rivals at Lord's on Saturday and recommends a top-bat wager to keep you interested...


"With the true nature of the surface Warner should be able to hit through the line without worry"

Recommended Bet
Back David Warner for top Australia runscorer at 4.03/1

England v Australia
Start time: 10:20
TV: live on Sky Sports 2


England

England were exposed as a work in progress by a ruthless Australia side in the first ODI in Southampton, losing by 59 runs.

The key moments came at almost identical times in each innings - around the 36-37th over. England were bang in the game with ball and then bat but didn't have the nous to hold on.

When Australia were reduced to 193 for six in the 37th over, England were one wicket away from the tail but the brilliance of Matthew Wade and Mitchell Marsh posted more than 300.

England were doing okay in the chase until Eoin Morgan, looking to accelerate, perished in the 36th over with the score 94 for four. They collapsed from that point.


Australia

For only the second time this summer Australia played as favourites should. They were largely in command and when they looked like losing control they wrestled it back with smart batting and clever bowling.

Joe Burns and David Warner formed a promising opening partnership while the relative failure of a powerhouse middle order - George Bailey, Glenn Maxwell and Shane Watson - didn't actually matter. Wade's 70 from 50 balls was ultimately match-winning and he was well supported by Marsh's quickfire 40.

Each of their bowlers contributed but special praise for Nathan Coulter-Nile and Watson for each taking two wickets at under five an over. That bowling effort probably ensures Watson plays at HQ after more woe with the bat.


First-innings runs

The first-innings average in the last five years (seven matches) for ODI at Lord's is 259. That seems pretty low for a ground with a reputation for good batting. There has been only one total of 300 or more in that time, too. That occurred last year when Sri Lanka posted 300 and they managed to just squeeze out England. It is the only score of 300 or more in the last ten years.


Match odds

Australia are 1.664/6 for a 2-0 lead with England 2.56/4. That is what the Aussies were for game one so it is a little surprising not see them shorten up a touch.

Still, if the odds are right, they are right and although we expect England to put up a decent show, it is hard to make case for them. They need some assistance from the pitch for their bowlers or a toss bias to give us, and them, a bit more confidence.

Their record at HQ certainly doesn't inspire confidence. They have won only five of their last 16. They have suffered three defeats in the last four against Australia, too.


Top England runscorer

Jos Buttler hit 121 from 74 balls against Sri Lanka last year but he is no way near such form at the moment. His slump continued with a poor short at the Rose Bowl. Otherwise there is little to write home about in terms of international ground form. Eoin Morgan averages just 30.

On the List A scene, Alex Hales averages 56 (three games), Jason Roy 11 (one), Ben Stokes 45 (two) and Moeen Ali 36 (one). James Taylor has the best record, averaging 66 from four matches with one ton.


Top Australia runscorer

Warner top scored with a half-century in that defeat in 2012. With the true nature of the surface he should be able to hit through the line without worry. In the Test series he did well here, too. Steve Smith also likes Lord's after his double there earlier in the summer and should go well.


Recommended Bet
Back David Warner for top Australia runscorer at 4.03/1

Ed Hawkins P/L

2015: +£331.80
2014: +315.10
2013: +250.80
To £10 level stakes (unless otherwise stated), based only on available prices. Does not include back-to-lay in-running match advice or commission rate.
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