Zimbabwe v Ireland
Saturday, 03:30 GMT
TV: Live on Sky Sports
Failure to chase down a very gettable 236 against Pakistan leaves Zimbabwe on the brink of an unsurprising exit. The most frustrating aspect was that they'd done the hard part in restricting a top-class side, with a weak bowling attack improving out of recognition. In three previous matches, they conceded 996 runs.
On the plus side, most of their top batsmen have chipped in at some stage and today's opponents hardly offer the same threat with the ball as Pakistan. If the top-three set a platform, the likes of Brendan Taylor and Sean Williams bring plenty of quality in the middle order.
After a dream start to the tournament, Ireland were brought back to earth with crushing 201 defeat to South Africa, exposing the gulf that exists between associate members and the very best, if not all the test-playing nations. Nevertheless, two previous wins against West Indies and UAE leave them on course for the quarter-finals, if winning today against the weakest of those test-playing nations.
Player for player, they don't look inferior. Ed Joyce and George Dockrell are certainly test class, while the rest of the side are well balanced with all-rounders like Paul Stirling and Kevin O'Brien. As shown in that outstanding chase against the Windies, they have the batting depth to go well beyond 300, as is required at this level.
First Innings Runs
The Bellerive Oval makes it's first appearance in this World Cup and looks set to produce another run-fest. In the only match to be played here since 2013, England hit 303 which was chased down by Australia. Two games earlier in 2012, India chased down 320 in a remarkable 36.4 overs.
If England can hit 300 against Australia here, so can these two sides against one another, both of whom are better with bat than ball. I'll be looking to back 'overs' in any band available pre-match at above 2.01/1. Hopefully that means from 275 upwards.
It's five years since these two played the last of their five matches, with Ireland gaining their first win. They've improved considerably in the meantime and look at least equal to Zimbabwe. Critically, Ireland's bowlers look likelier to contain and restrict what could be a high total, so they get the nod at 2.0421/20.
Top Zimbabwe Batsman
Zimbabwe's top order is fairly brittle and it often falls to Brendan Taylor and Sean Williams to rebuild at four and five. The latter's boundary hitting will be critical if still around at the death and, having top-scored twice already in this World Cup, is under-rated at 6.411/2.
Top Ireland Batsman
This is wide-open, with all the top-six capable of making a significant score. If forced to pick one over the long-term, it would be Ed Joyce, who is fancied at around 4.84/1 to make his mark from the plum number three spot.
Back Ireland 3u @ 2.0421/20