West Indies v United Arab Emirates
Start time: 22.00GMT
TV: live on Sky Sport
West Indies remain in contention for a quarter-final spot as their rivals, Pakistan and Ireland, clash in Adelaide later in the day.
They will have more than one eye on proceedings. West Indies must make sure that they have a superior run rate to whoever loses that match.
No doubt the Windies will be cheering on Pakistan as they have a far superior run rate to the Irish, despite losing to them. The gulf will get even bigger with defeat for Ireland and victory for West Indies.
Most important, though, is a big win over the UAE to make sure. Chris Gayle is fit to help.
The UAE have hardly disgraced themselves at this tournament. They ran Zimbabwe and Ireland mightily close, were competitive against Pakistan and had South Africa in a light sweat when they reduced them to ninety-odd for three.
Only against India did they suffer the sort of implosion that one would expect from an associate - losing by nine wickets after being skittled.
Shaiman Anwar is comfortably their best batsman while the economy rates of AM Guruge, Mohammad Tauqir, the skipper, and Nasir Aziz would put some of the 'big boy' bowlers to shame.
The average first-innings score in the last five at Napier is 291. The UAE conceded 339 there against Pakistan so they will be well aware how things can go wrong very quickly. They would probably have preferred a sporty wicket to help reduce the gulf but it looks unlikely that they will get it.
The greatest threat to West Indies in this game is themselves. If they try to be too aggressive, too early it could backfire. Likewise they could be distracted by events elsewhere.
So backing them at 1.061/18 would require a lobotomy. Along with Pakistan, West Indies are one of the least trustworthy sides around and they are more than capable of slipping up.
The UAE will, of course, have to play out of their skins to get something from the game but they have shown they can bat and bowl with discipline against the lesser sides in the group, of which the Windies are surely one.
The best advice is to look for a back-to-lay of the UAE at big odds of 16.5. We would be looking to steal no more than three or four points.
In our favour is a poor weather forecast. Some rain is expected and any reduction in overs can usually be relied upon to make it a little easier for the weaker side.
Top West Indies runscorer
With 279 runs at an average of 55, Gayle looks as though he has had one hell of a tournament. But then you realise 215 of them came in one game - and he should have been out lbw before he'd reached double figures - and it doesn't look so hot. He will be under 3.02/1 here. Dwayne Smith, his opening partner, averages just 15 so forgive us if we reckon the likes of Marlon Samuels and Lendl Simmons are more reliable.
Top UAE runscorer
Shaiman top scored for the UAE on this ground in defeat by Pakistan. But there were also runs for Khurram Khan (43), Swapnil Patel (36) and Amjad Javed (40).
Back-to-lay UAE from 16.5 to 13.5