No guaranteed last four spot as England lose again
If you are an England fan who has calmly been waiting for the time to panic, now is your chance.
The Pakistan defeat was supposedly a one-off and the Sri Lanka loss put down as an error of judgement. But a comprehensive defeat by Australia today has seen them relegated from tournament favourites to go all the way, to fourth favourites at 1.558/15 to even just make the semis.
Australia's impressive all-round performance has convinced the Betfair Exchange layers to install the Gold and Greens as the new 3.39/4 jollies, just shorter than India, who are 3.3512/5. By beating England, Australia also became officially the first team to qualify for the semis.
England will now almost certainly need at least one more win from their remaining two matches- against India and New Zealand. In fact, they need two wins to be completely sure of a place in the last four.
There is also a scenario where they could go through without winning either of those two if just about every other result goes their way and they sneak through on net run rate. But it's pretty unlikely.
Especially because a win for Pakistan tomorrow over New Zealand would mean Eoin Morgan's men definitely need to win at least one more.
Bizarrely, even though the Black Caps are just 1.021/50 to make the semis, they're far bigger than England to actually win it, at 7.413/2.
Pakistan at 5.04/1 are seen as the side most likely to gate-crash the semi-final party at England's expense.
What went wrong for England?
If there are two things that England like before an ODI gets under way, it's a good batting surface and being able to chase.
Today they got both, which is why this defeat is so worrying. They were unable to break Australia's opening partnership (admittedly not the only ones this tournament) and though they had a decent spell in the middle overs, taking regular wickets, they were a little careless at the death, allowing Alex Carey to hit some late boundaries for a good cameo of 38 off 27.
Jofra Archer was a bit more expensive than usual, one of three bowlers going for more than six an over.
But 285 was still a score deemed 10 or 15 runs short of par and England were favourites at the break.
James Vince continues to have fans pining for the return from injury of Jason Roy with another failure while Jonny Bairstow's lean run continued. Joe Root (pictured below) had a rare failure of his own and despite a fighting innings from Ben Stokes, similar to that he played on Friday, he never got a partner able to hang around long enough. His exit for 89 made an England defeat inevitable.
So it's back to the drawing board for England and if they're to get one more win from two very game opponents, it will require a change of tactics, a change of personnel or...luck. On another day they could have taken more wickets with the new ball.
None of the above could well mean curtains for the side that this time last week was many people's fancy to win their first World Cup.
Aussie pair new favourites for top bat honours
Earlier in the day Australia's two openers added more runs to their already impressive tally and are now the first and second highest runscorers in the tournament.
Aaron Finch notched his second century of the World Cup, also the fifth time he passed fifty in seven innings, to get to 496 runs. He's now 4.57/2 on the Exchange to be the World Cup's top batsman but having got out the next ball after raising his bat and with plenty of overs still left in the innings, those same backers will have been thinking of what might have been.
David Warner got 53 today and leads his skipper by four runs, as he sits on a cool 500. The left-hander is the 3.711/4 favourite but before piling into that price, it's worth remembering that while the Aussies have played seven games, most teams have played just six and one side has played just five.
That side is of course India, meaning Rohit Sharma (8.615/2) and Virat Kohli (17.016/1) will have a fairly easy-looking match on Thursday against the Windies to try and add to their own tallies of 320 and 244 runs respectively. They will surely have been on more if their match against New Zealand hadn't been washed out a couple of weeks ago.
Joe Root (8.07/1) missed out on a good opportunity to score some runs of his own after being out LBW to Mitchell Starc for just eight.
'Steady-eddie' Kane Williamson (8.27/1) and Bangladesh's Shakib Al-Hasan (19.018/1) are the other realistic contenders, the latter not so fancied with Bangladesh now unlikely to make the last four.
An Aussie leads the top bowlers charts, too
Having remarkably taken exactly three wickets in each of his last four matches, Jofra Archer took just one against Australia and that decrease on his tournament average contributed to England's problems today. He's now on 16, alone in second place, and rated a 5.59/2 chance.
Pakistan's Mohammad Amir- in action tomorrow against New Zealand- has 15 and is a 14.013/1 chance. Kiwi Lockie Ferguson (8.07/1) has 14, while Mark Wood (23.022/1) has 13.
They're all trailing Mitchell Starc, though. Supposedly out of form coming into the tournament, he's way out on his own with 19. The 2015 World Cup top wicket-taker and Player of the Tournament has been bowling with raw pace and plenty of venom and is very much the man to beat here. That's why he's just 2.68/5 to finish top of the pile.