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Melbourne Renegades v Sydney Sixers: Bravo could walk away with the gong

Jamie fancies Dwayne Bravo to bag the Man of the Match honours
Jamie fancies Dwayne Bravo to bag the Man of the Match honours
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The Renegades look much the better side and if they do go on to win, it would be no surprise to see the great entertainer Dwayne Bravo doing the damage with the ball. He could be the match-winner, says Jamie Pacheco...

"Bravo was MOM in the first game after his five wickets and you’re always guaranteed four overs from him. This Sixers batting line-up looks poor and there may be plenty of cheap wickets on offer for Bravo bowling at the tail at the death."

Melbourne Renegades v Sydney Sixers
Wednesday, 08:10 GMT

When will the real Aaron Finch turn up?

The Renegades are two from three. After two good wins, they went down to the Perth Scorchers, scoring just 130 first up. No disgrace there, though. The Scorchers have been the outstanding side in the competition so far. Nothing new there.

So whereas that defeat isn't really something to worry about, the form of skipper Aaron Finch certainly is. Normally chalked up as one of the favourites for top tournament batsman, he has scores of just 4, 8 and 0 so far.

Instead, it's been left to the uber-experienced Cameron White to get the bulk of the runs. He has 133 runs from just three knocks with a very respectable strike rate of 120. They might consider bringing Brad Hodge up the order, though. He may be 43 but few know this competition and this format like him and he's too good a player to have only faced 28 balls so far in three outings.

They've been good with the ball. Of the seven bowlers they've used so far, five of them have gone for less than 7.5 runs an over. Dwayne Bravo has eight wickets so far; only Andrew Tye (13) and Ben Laughlin (nine) have more.

Billings and Roy need to up their game

The Sixers have been awful but they haven't exactly had any fortune, either. As if it wasn't enough that they're without Steve Smith, Josh Hazlewood, Mitchell Starc and Nathan Lyon, all Sixers players on Test match duty, they've lost two more.

Skipper Moises Henriques is absent through unknown reasons and they've now also lost Steve O'Keefe after he injured himself fielding. It looked a bad one.

No-one has scored 100 runs from four matches and that obviously explains part of their problems. Jordan Silk has been the best of a bad bunch with English duo Sam Billings and Jason Roy as guilty as anyone of not getting enough runs on the board. You don't recruit two international batsmen for them to be averaging 18 and 12 respectively.

A possible trade

The Renegades are [1.6] and that looks about right. They look stronger in both departments and appear to be a better organised side with more clearly-defined roles for everyone. But [1.6] is a little short for a side who in the past has mixed strong performances with indifferent ones. And they don't even have a particularly good record at home.

If the Sixers bat first, your best bet might be to back them at around [2.5] and hope that Roy can finally get them off to a good start. But be sure to trade out because once he, Silk and Billings are dismissed there doesn't seem to be much more to come with the bat.

Sams can be Sixers top bowler

Daniel Sams, a complete unknown to Big Bash fans prior to this season, has been just about the only success story of the campaign. His six wickets are twice as many as anyone else. There's no O'Keefe to beat and Johan Botha seems to be a little over the hill while Sean Abbott, last year's top wicket-taker of the tournament looks out of sorts. I'm surprised Sams is 3/1 to be top bowler and that looks decent.

Bravo licking his lips

Backing an all-rounder who bats in the Top 4 for man-of-the-match honours when he belongs to the side who's favourite to win the game is one of the oldest tricks in the book. Jacques Kallis, Shane Watson and Andre Russell all came into that category. Dwayne Bravo used to but these days you're unlikely to see him bat higher than five or six.

Still, you may not need an effort from him with the bat to land this bet. He was MOM in the first game after his five wickets and you're always guaranteed four overs from him. This Sixers batting line-up looks poor and there may be plenty of cheap wickets on offer for Bravo bowling at the tail at the death.

Given we've established that the Renegades are very likely to win the match, this could be the best wager of the day at an attractive 7/1.


Staked: 5.5 pts
Returned: 7.7 pts
P and L: +2.2pts.

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