Adelaide Strikers v Perth Scorchers: Go with the reliable man
Jamie Pacheco reflects on what has been a poor campaign for both these two and with little to choose in the match odds market, has his money on one of Perth's more reliable performers...
"So the smart choice is Ashton Turner. The top-scorer of the side with over 100 runs more than anyone else, the only man with three fifties to his name and often the one who did the most to stop the landslide. An obvious bet but in a game of few opportunities, a decent one."
Adelaide Strikers v Perth Scorchers
Saturday February 9, 04:00
Live on BT Sport
Strikers thinking about next season
I went into plenty of detail regarding what went wrong with the Strikers in Sunday's round-up so no need to go into it in any great deal of detail again. So let's ask a different question: do they need to replace their overseas players for next season?
Probably not. Given the squad they have, having a specialist batsman and a champion spinner are probably the way to go so we may see Colin Ingram and Rashid Khan back again next year. Ingram by the way won't be playing here after returning home for family reasons. With the Strikers out of the tournament, no-one will be too fussed about that.
They do however look a bit bare in the middle-order so may have to go looking for an effective middle-order Aussie batsman in search of a move ahead of next year's campaign.
Disastrous campaign for the Scorchers
It's a pick 'em affair for who was the more disappointing of the two: the defending champions (Strikers) or the most successful side in Bash history (Scorchers)?
In the Scorchers' case everything that could have gone wrong, did. Overseas gamble Usman Qadir didn't pay off. The other one, David Willey, was poor, then got injured.
Jye Richardson and Jason Behrendoff, their in-form bowlers got called up to the Australia ODI team out of the blue. Michael Klinger, as if he wasn't out of nick anyway, got two or three really bad decisions go against him, including being out off the seventh ball of an over (there wasn't a no-ball or wide). We could go on, but there's no point.
Willey is unlikely to be asked back after a really disappointing time.
If it was a pick 'em affair for worst season, it also is on the match winner market here. Well, just about.
The Strikers are marginal favourites at 4/5 with the Scorchers at evens. Given they've been as bad as each other and have little or nothing to play for, we're not going to pick a winner here, either.
Out of interest, the Scorchers won quite comfortably when they played in Perth earlier in the campaign.
Things could have been very different if Shaun Marsh had been around for more of the campaign. His 96 not out after returning from international duty was a reminder of what the Scorchers had been missing. That said, scores of 0 and 2 after that are proof that no-one comes off all of the time. Still, it's hard to argue that he isn't a justified favourite at 11/4 for Scorchers top bat given his excellent Big Bash record.
How about a fairytale ending to Michael Klinger's Big Bash career with a well-constructed 80? Hmmm, not for us at 7/2. If you wanted to be harsh, you could say he's retiring from this competition for a reason. Age catches up with you eventually and there's no room for sentimentality in this tipping game.
So the smart choice is Ashton Turner. The top-scorer of the side with over 100 runs more than anyone else, the only man with three fifties to his name and often the one who did the most to stop the landslide. An obvious bet but in a game of few opportunities, a decent one.
You won't have got much of a price about Rashid Khan being the strikers' top bowler this season. If you did back him, he duly obliged as he currently has 17 wickets to his name, six more than anyone else. But odds of 13/5 aren't too appealing and though it's taken from a small sample (five matches), Peter Siddle's strike rate of 15.1 is considerably better than Khan's 18.3 yet the tireless Aussie fast bowler is a far bigger price at 4/1.
Jamie's 2018/19 Big Bash P/L
Returned: 29.4 pts
P/L: +1.9 pts