James Buttler is sticking with Perth Scorchers at [2.32] despite strong performances from Adelaide Strikers in BBL07. It's a price play in what promises to be a close encounter...
"Michael Klinger has endured a stuttering start to his campaign after missing the early knockings after his wife was diagnosed with breast cancer. He's too good to miss out for long and the former Adelaide Strikers stalwart will be keen to get one over his former side."
Adelaide Strikers v Perth Scorchers
Saturday January 13, 05:10 GMT
The Strikers deservedly sit top of the BBL07 ladder and a win over the Scorchers will all but secure a semi-final berth. They beat Melbourne Stars in their last match, keeping the Stars to 151 for six before in form Alex Carey led the successful chase with 59 off 52 balls, while Travis Head scored 53 off 32 balls.
The Strikers will miss Head who has now joined up with Australia's ODI side. Head is their talisman with the bat and was just starting to fire after a slow start to BBL07. The Strikers have warmed Head up for their country, but will certainly miss the runs he would have undoubtedly scored over the next few weeks.
The Scorchers have taken five wins from seven games so far and are heading towards the semi-finals, most likely along with the Strikers. Justin Langer's men will want to bounce back from a last over defeat to Sydney Thunder and undoubtedly miss their most successful BBL07 seamers in Tye and Richardson. They have able deputies however in Joel Paris and the returning Tim Bresnan. Spearheaded by the evergreen Mitchell Johnson it remains an attack that can both contain and take wickets.
They Thunder defeat came after the Sydney side made 175 for four and Perth could muster only 172 for four in response. On his return from Ashes Test action Cameron Bancroft top scored with 75 off 56 balls. Hilton Cartwright scored 65 off 41 balls, but no one else reached double figures. Paris caused problems, but remained wicketless with 0-28 from his four overs.
Michael Klinger has endured a stuttering start to his campaign after missing the early knockings after his wife was diagnosed with breast cancer. He's too good to miss out for long and the former Adelaide Strikers stalwart will be keen to get one over his former side.
These are two of the best sides, so far, in BBL07 and potentially it's a dress rehearsal for the Big Final. Despite Perth's Thursday defeat to Sydney Thunder I am still with them to win this tournament, but can't deny that the Strikers have been equally, if not more, impressive so far. The head-to-head stats for this one only suggest that this is going to be a close one that could go either way.
In 10 meetings both sides have taken five wins apiece, but the last match, in 2016 was taken by Perth. It's a gut feel and a price play that tempts me towards the Scorchers at long odds of [2.32]. The Perth franchise rarely lose two games on the bounce and perhaps this is the Strikers turn to have an off day. It's certainly not a nailed-on assessment or an all-in bet and perhaps the better chances lie elsewhere in the match markets.
Alex Carey has been impressive at the top of the Strikers' order and at 13/5 is favourite to succeed again. It's between Carey and Colin Ingram (10/3) for me as the rest of the batting order are too hit and miss. Ingram had a stellar T20 Blast for Glamorgan during the English summer and has a huge part to play for the Strikers during this tournament. So a full stakes play on Ingram and a half-stakes play on Jake Lehmann at 7/1 is the way to go.
Michael Klinger leads this market at 13/5, but while I know he has runs to come in BBL07, he's been too inconsistent to back. Once the floodgates open he will be the man to get behind, but until then Cameron Bancroft at 16/5 and Hilton Cartwright at 11/2 hold more appeal. Ashes hero Shaun Marsh looks a tad short at 13/5, so it's Bancroft with the main stake and a half-stakes play on the experienced Adam Voges at 6/1.
It's the gift that keeps on giving. Over 1.5 at 7/4 is playable in every game during BBL07.
The runs are starting to flow and there is enough quality on show in this one to suggest a nibble on the 9/1 on offer via Sportsbook is worth consideration.
There is value everywhere in this market. On the basis that this award usually goes to a player on the winning side it's worth picking a player from both camps and playing both at half-stakes. For Adelaide I'm opting for Colin Ingram at 8/1 and my Scorchers pick is Cameron Bancroft, also at 8/1.
James Buttler at BBL07
Units Staked 23.50
Units Returned 35.45
Profit/Loss: +11.95 units
2 units on Perth Scorchers to win at [2.32]
0.5 units on Cameron Bancroft to be Man of the Match at 8/1
0.5 units on Colin Ingram to be Man of the Match at 8/1
1 unit on over 1.5 Total Match Run Outs at 7/4
1 unit on a Century to be Scored at 9/1