West Indies v New Zealand T20 Betting: Odds make Kiwis the call

Taylor saw the Kiwis home
Taylor saw the Kiwis home

Ed Hawkins, with nine winners from his last 12 tips, previews the final contest from Dominica on Sunday night with the tourists looking to preserve their lead...

"The sides have met nine times now and West Indies have won only twice. Three of the contests have ended in ties but New Zealand have won the last three."

Recommended Bet
New Zealand at 2.1211/10

West Indies v New Zealand
Sunday July 6, 19:00
Live on Sky Sports

West Indies
It was difficult not to feel a little sorry for West Indies in defeat by 13 runs in Dominica on Saturday. They got the worst of the conditions and were unable to get a grip on the game, literally. For a start their innings was interrupted by rain, something which always upsets the rhythm of the batting team. And then persistent drizzle nullified the potential impact of their key spinner. Sunil Narine, capable of winning a game on his own, went for 6.3 an over. That doesn't sound a lot but his economy is normally far better than that and he was unable to get the revolutions on the ball because of the damp. 

New Zealand
Before the start of the first T20 we highlighted the importance of New Zealand's new-ball tyros and Tim Southee and Trent Boult did not disappoint. They took two wickets apiece to put the Kiwis in control. There were two wickets also for all-rounder Corey Anderson. New Zealand were grateful to wise heads Brendon McCullum and Ross Taylor for getting them over the D-L line. Indeed, we wonder if they might be a little too reliant on those two as West Indies appear to bat deeper. Taylor admitted afterwards that the conditions had made batting easy. 

First-innings Runs
It would be easy to reckon that the surface was sluggish or tricky to bat on from a glance at the scorecard but in normal circumstances we saw nothing to suggest that 150 or 160 is not achievable. It really shouldn't be underestimated how important the first-innings stoppage was and without it the hosts could have breached 150. A run rate of 7.33 was respectable and we would not be surprised to see decent runs scored.

Match Odds
The good news is that no rain is forecast so we can expect a fair contest decided on skill and temperament rather than mother nature. And so to the odds. We expressed surprise that the Kiwis were considered marginal outsiders for the first match - remember there is no Chris Gayle or Dwayne Bravo for West Indies - and the status quo remains. There is not much in it. The Kiwis have pushed past 2.01/1 but they are a far more palatable prospect than West Indies at the 1.875/6 mark. Granted they have Narine and the performances with the bat from Andre Fletcher and Darren Bravo impressed but this is a choice affair. It is rare indeed that we would consider the hosts at odds on and they are an underdog team. West Indies have to be bet on at inflated odds because we often talk about what they 'could' achieve with gun players, rather than what they 'do'. We are wary of them but will stick with the Kiwis who are efficient and reliable. For the record, the sides have met nine times now and West Indies have won only twice. Three of the contests have ended in ties but New Zealand have won the last three.

Top West Indies Runscorer
Fletcher's 52 from 39 balls will see him well backed in the No 3 slot at around 5.04/1. Lendl Simmons and Dwayne Smith, the openers, will enjoy favourite status at no better than 4.03/1. Kieron Pollard is 7.06/1.

Top New Zealand Runscorer
McCullum and Taylor could go off at 5.004/1 apiece but we are keener on Kane Williamson, whose form on tour has been terrific. He failed in game one but as an opener a price of 4.03/1 could appeal.

Recommended bet
New Zealand at 2.1211/10

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