Ed Hawkins retains faith with the tourists in Centurion on Sunday despite defeat in game one with only Williamson and Guptill showing fight...
"New Zealand were probably only 30 runs shy of running South Africa close."
South Africa v New Zealand
Start time: 13:00BST
TV: Live on Sky Sports
South Africa lost captain Faf du Plessis to a knee injury before the off which meant that AB De Villiers skippered instead of opening the batting and keeping. Morne van Wyk returned to the No 1 slot as a result and took the gloves.
It was De Villiers and Hashim Amla who set South Africa on the road to victory in Durban with a partnership of 50 in rapid time. From 85 for two the game was won.
David Wiese and Aaron Phangiso, the spinner, were key in restricting New Zealand. They took two wickets each and Wiese had a hand in a run out.
The Kiwis did not look the big outsiders they were priced to be when they were 63 for no loss after seven overs. But they did when they failed to build on such a fine start and post only 151.
It was a surprise because a good middle order of Colin Munro, Grant Elliott and Luke Ronchi added only ten runs between them. Had they managed even just ten each then New Zealand could have won the game.
That suggests there is not an awful lot wrong with the balance of the side. Tom Latham batting at No 7 gives them impressive depth while it was difficult to fault pacers Doug Bracewell and Adam Milne whose economy rates were excellent.
Unfortunately Mitchell McClenaghan let them down by going at almost 12 an over and, in truth, they were never in the game with the ball.
New Zealand are out from 2.757/4 to 3.052/1 for this one following their six-wicket defeat in Kingsmead. We thought they were value for that game and at inflated odds it is hard to have a change of heart.
As we said New Zealand were probably only 30 runs shy of running South Africa close. We expect a tighter, more disciplined performance at crucial times with bat and ball this time and at the very least we should get the opportunity to trade.
These are two experimental sides and although South Africa backers will point to De Villiers and Hashim Amla as being match winners, the same can be said of Kane Williamson and Martin Guptill.
Indeed New Zealand could even be said to have the edge with that powerful axis in the middle order. They just need one of them to come off.
There have been only four T20s played at Centurion, producing first-innings scores of 156, 241, 195 and 128. It is fair to say that is a mixed bag and one couldn't back or lay a runs line with confidence. The domestic T20 matches in the last two years provide some clarity: 161-179-167-115-115-148. That is an average of 148.
Top South Africa runscorer
De Villiers has a fine record at the ground in one-dayers and Tests but it hasn't been replicated in T20s where he's never got further than the 30s. He is 3.7511/4 with Amla the same price. Van Wyk is 4.57/2.
Top New Zealand runscorer
Williamson and Guptill are 3.7511/4. George Worker, the No.3, is 5.04/1. Despite their poor efforts in game one we still think Elliott and Ronchi are overpriced at 7.06/1 and 10.09/1 respectively.
Back New Zealand at 3.052/1
Ed Hawkins P/L
To £10 level stakes (unless otherwise stated), based only on available prices. Does not include back-to-lay in-running match advice or commission rate.
Follow Ed on Twitter @cricketbetting