After three wins and a tie from his four CLT20 tips, Matt Harris has his money on IPL Champions Mumbai to overcome T&T and take their place in Sunday's final.
"Mumbai’s bowling attack has been tight but not exactly penetrative and T&T can target the late overs if they manage to keep wickets in hand."
Trinidad & Tobago vs Mumbai Indians
Saturday October 5, 15.30 BST
Live on Eurosport 2
Trinidad & Tobago
Like their opponents Mumbai, T&T had a slow start to the tournament and, following an unconvincing opening win against Brisbane, Denesh Ramdin's men went down to the Sunrisers and seemed on the brink of elimination. However, two comfortable victories including an emphatic thumping of pre-tournament favourites CSK saw them top the group.
You should never write off a West Indian side in the shortest form of the game and T&T are gaining momentum just at the optimum time to cause an upset here. The top order has been inconsistent but Darren Bravo, Lendl Simmons and Evin Lewis, who made 70 from just 35 balls against the Titans, are all finding form coming into this match.
The bowling attack is both potent and economical and although Sunil Narine was wicketless against Chennai, his four overs went for just 12. Add in Ravi Rampaul and Samuel Badree and you arguably have the most dangerous unit in this tournament and while T&T are outsiders to make the final, if they play to their best then there's every chance of another shock.
Mumbai lost the opening match of the tournament against IPL rivals Rajasthan and after rain ruined their next tie against the Volts, Rohit Sharma's men had to win their remaining two games to stand a chance of qualifying.
Victory against the Lions followed before the Indians chased down 149 at above 11 an over to edge past Otago and make the semis. Just like T&T, Rohit's side are peaking at the perfect time.
The Skipper has been in good touch with the bat and has been well supported by Windies pair Dwayne Smith and Kieron Pollard. However, Sachin Tendulkar and Dinesh Karthik have struggled for runs and either man may need to provide a big knock to take the pressure away from their team mates here.
Mumbai's bowling attack has been tight but not exactly penetrative and T&T can target the late overs if they manage to keep wickets in hand.
Venue and Conditions
In the two CLT20 games played at the Feroz Shah Kotla stadium in Delhi, the average first innings score has been just 133 so you have to go back to IPL 6 to get a better indication of a defendable total.
During that tournament, the better sides - Delhi Daredevils excluded - averaged at around the 160-165 mark and that must be a minimum target in Saturday's semi.
For once there is no clear threat of rain and in comfortable temperatures the side winning the toss should be looking to chase.
Trinidad and Tobago look so tempting at their win odds of 2.915/8 and it's hard to remember seeing better value in this tournament. One big innings from Bravo, Lewis or Simmons will be enough to convert that generous price into a profit with Narine waiting to tie Mumbai up for four overs.
But while the toss could prove to be vital, Mumbai were so dismissive of Perth last time out so I'd expect them to give you a profit at 1.528/15 and carry that form forward to Sunday's final.
There's virtually a three way tie at the top between Bravo, Lewis and Simmons, all of whom will be available at around the 4.03/1 mark. Denesh Ramdin continues to improve as a batsman and gives you an option at 7.06/1 or better but Bravo's welcome return to consistent form makes him our pick in this market.
Rohit Sharma's brilliant 51 from 24 balls against the Scorchers makes him co -favourite at around 4.03/1 but Dwayne Smith has been equally consistent and shares that price.
However, we're looking at an outside punt here with Kieron Pollard back to his devastating best in the late overs and with top order players under pressure, the West Indian should get enough time at the crease to deliver a profit at a generous 7.06/1 or possibly even better.
Back Mumbai Indians to win at 1.528/15.