World Snooker Championship Tips: Wilson rates superb value to defy the Rocket and become champion

Snooker player Kyren Wilson
Kyren Wilson produced fine breakbuilding form during his semi

Following what many are describing as snooker's greatest ever day, Paul Krishnamurty previews the final and is standing by his earlier Kyren Wilson tip...

"In the 2018 Champion of Champions final, the big takeaway for me...was how well Wilson stood his ground, at a time when O'Sullivan cut a more formidable figure."

What a day! Surely the greatest in the history of snooker and the Crucible Theatre. The upshot is a final promising more of the same between Ronnie O'Sullivan and Kyren Wilson. Both won in deciding frames.

Wilson edges the most incredible final frame

Eurosport's Dave Hendon nailed it about Wilson's match with Anthony McGill, when saying you could write a book on the final frame alone, only for it to be rejected on the grounds of being too far-fetched. Words failed me and still do. If you missed it, catch up on a frame that you will never see the likes of again.

Not to be outdone, O'Sullivan then proceeded to produce the most stunning comeback to defy Mark Selby, winning the final three frames including a 138 clearance. It was vintage Ronnie. Minutes after yet another hit and hope ended in disaster. He looked down and out for all money.

Ronnie at short odds for sixth title

Now he stands on the verge of a sixth world title, moving just one behind Stephen Hendry's all-time record. I reckon if he wins this year, Ronnie will catch and pass Hendry, because he'll know he is capable of an immediate goal and focus properly. If losing, I'm sceptical if he'll ever win this title again.

The betting can have a very short memory. Prior to that late explosion of brilliance, O'Sullivan did not look like an imminent champion. Nor previously for long periods against Mark Williams. Now he's a mere 1.351/3 chance to beat a bang-in-form, fresher opponent who comes alive at this venue.

Wilson and McGill produced a higher standard

Of the two semis, Wilson's was a superior standard overall. Sure his brain went a few times in that final session but he never completely lost his game. He'd been superb in moving ahead from 6-2 down, hitting four tons and ten breaks over 70.

Furthermore, Kyren absolutely believes he was put on Earth in order to become world champion. He has shown nerves of steel on numerous occasions and, lest we forget, is entering merely the ninth day of the tournament, as opposed to 15 for Ronnie.

Recent encounters point to a close match

I'm also encouraged by their previous encounters. Ronnie predictably leads their head-to-head 4-2 with the last three all going to deciding frames.

One of those was the 2018 Champion of Champions final, when Kyren was cruelly denied by an in-off when splitting the pack in the decider. He referred to it yesterday in his post-match interview.

The big takeaway for me on that day, though, was how well he stood his ground, at a time when O'Sullivan cut a more formidable figure. I'm confident Wilson will rise to this occasion too.

Updated cashout advice

Two separate bits of betting advice are required. First, for those who followed me in on Wilson at 24.023/1, we must cash some out. I'm laying ten units at 3.8514/5, then setting another at 1.51/2. Hitting the first would guarantee six units profit from the trade. The second a further 20, and if Wilson wins a further 27.

Already advised - Back Kyren Wilson 4u @ 24.023/1
Updated advice - Lay Wilson 10u @ 3.9
2nd cashout plan - Place order to lay 20u @ 1.51/2

The first lay at 3.9 is absolutely NOT recommended to anyone who didn't take the earlier odds on Wilson.

Today's individual match advice is the reverse. Get with Wilson although I prefer alternative bets to the match odds. First 6/5 about him winning 15 frames, via the 3.5 Frame Handicap appeals.

Secondly, 6/1 about him hitting more centuries than O'Sullivan is a huge price. He hit four in the semi, plus a 99 and a 94. Ronnie made two, and nothing else above 90.

Back Kyren Wilson to win the +3.5 Frame Handicap 5u @ 6/5
Back Kyren Wilson to win Centuries Match Bet 1u @ 6/1


Follow Paul on Twitter @paulmotty

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