UK Snooker Daily Tips: Lines could struggle to repeat Sunday's heroics
After three winning days on the spin, Paul Krishnamurty runs through his best bets among Tuesday's third round matches at York...
"I suspect there may be an element of 'after the lord mayor's show' about Lines' performance today and rate his much more experienced opponent the daily nap...Robertson is in good form, beating a player with superior pedigree in Mark Davis by a resounding 6-2 scoreline in the last round."
At some point in the future, we will probably look upon last Sunday night as the moment a star was born. I'd read that Oliver Lines was a top prospect, but seen little evidence of it on the match table. Make no mistake though, the way he dispatched Judd Trump in the game's second biggest tournament was pretty special.
There must be a danger, however, in over-reacting. Ultimately Lines has achieved very little in his professional career yet and, if he'd been pitched against Jimmy Robertson previously, he would have been much bigger odds than are now available. I suspect there may be an element of 'after the lord mayor's show' about Lines' performance today and rate his much more experienced opponent the daily nap.
Robertson is in good form, beating a player with superior pedigree in Mark Davis by a resounding 6-2 scoreline in the last round, following on from a 6-0 whitewash in the last-128. He's also enjoyed several other one-sided victories in recent tournaments, before falling to the likes of Ronnie O'Sullivan and losing nothing in a 4-3 defeat to John Higgins.
Today's main bet is on Robertson to defy the 1.5 frame handicap here, along with a straight win bet as part of a treble. Combined with outsiders Dominic Dale and Fergal O'Brien receiving 2.5 frames in their respective handicaps, the treble pays just above 9/2.
Dale faces a formidable opponent in Shaun Murphy but has enjoyed some decent results this season - including a 6-3 win over Graeme Dott in the last round - whereas the Magician hasn't been all that consistent. I doubt this will be too one-sided.
As for O'Brien, how can we resist him after making a remarkable five tons in the last round? Granted, that form came out of nowhere but he must be feeling confident and Maguire is hardly the most reliable favourite in the game.
2 units treble
2016 UK Snooker Profit/Loss