Jaymes Monte is surprised to see Brendan Dolan in the quarters, but happy to back him to progress to another semi-final...
"The experience gained from this match will be invaluable in the Pipe master plan for world domination, but the lessons will come in defeat."
Having picked out Mervyn King in my outright preview at odds of 70.069/1 - now trading at 8.88/1 - and collected on his second round win over Dave Chisnall at odds of 2.47/5 - Own. Trumpet. Blown. - I'm going to sidestep his quarter-final match with Robert Thornton. Although I think The King could be the value bet at odds of 2.111/10 to beat Thornton, given that the Scot is sure to be mentally fatigued from his epic win over Phil Taylor, it's a very tough one to call; one best to sit back and enjoy without a bet.
Instead, my bet of the day comes in the first match of the night between Brendan Dolan and Justin Pipe. Having resurrected his career in this event 12 months ago I expected Dolan to struggle with the pressure of living up to expectations this time around. Quite the opposite has been true. The Northern Irishman has revelled in the glory of last year's nine-dart finish en route to the final and skipped past Gary Anderson then Vincent van der Voort to reach the quarters. Now he is just one match away from consecutive televised semi-finals.
Dolan reached the last four of last month's European Championships, notably defeating Taylor in the quarters, but also knocking out tonight's opponent Justin Pipe in the first round with relative ease.
Pipe's rise and rise over the past 24 months from run of the mill professional, to king of the floor, to Major-event rookie, to making the latter stages of televised events and, I'm certain, to future title challenger, has been remarkable. However, I still think that he has some way to go. The experience gained from this match will be invaluable in the Pipe master plan for world domination, but the lessons will come in defeat.
While Dolan has breezed through the opening two rounds riding on the crest of a wave created by the partisan crowd, Pipe has been forced to battle every inch of the way. In a best-of-seven-sets match, that mental fatigue could be a defining factor.
Add into the equation that Dolan's tournament three-dart average is a whole six points better than Pipe's, and that the 'History Maker' has a 57% checkout rate this week in comparison to his opponent's 32%, and we have our bet.
Back Dolan to beat Pipe @ 2.3411/8