Michael Van Gerwen v Gary Anderson
It's been a rough run but today is the day we recoup some of our hard earned cash.
In this contest you have two players that play the game a similar way - both fast and fluent, both as precise as a Swiss time piece.
The way these two hit the treble 20 bed is sometimes quite unbelievable, once the first dart enters its desired target it's hard to envisage them missing.
The one who relentlessly marches forward, the one who hits the big out shot at the right time, the one who doesn't miss the much needed double, that's your winner.
This game will more than likely turn on one dart, whether it be a hit or miss.
Who's the most reliable under pressure? For me this is the most important factor, and I can only side with MVG here. All year when under the cosh the amiable Dutchman has produced incredible spells to dig himself out of a hole, (beating King in Dublin, beating Wade in Dublin, beating RVB at the Masters ) to name a few.
This will come down to the last leg deciders in sets, and Michael has the composure that Gary just sometimes can be lacking.
Gary's game is based around his amazing 60 hitting, he normally relies on that to give himself a few chances at doubles, if he hits his doubles to around 45% he's in with a real chance of winning and making the final for the second time, if he doesn't I think he'll lose.
In a nutshell Anderson has to hit crucial doubles to beat the reigning world champ, do you think he will? I don't.
Michael Van Gerwen -1.5 sets @ 1.910/11
Phil Taylor v Raymond Van Barneveld
I'm not saying Raymond can't win this, as we know any outcome is possible, I just think it's very unlikely.
RVB has looked lethargic at times, drained and sometimes beaten, yet he's still there fighting away. But there are only so many tough battles you can have before your will breaks and the dream dies.
For the five time World beater to win, this is what has to happen: RVB will need to keep tabs on Phil early on, he has to win one of the first three sets, two-nil down is ok, three nil is a huge mountain to climb, he has to remain positive, he's only beaten Phil once in their last 14 encounters (mind you it was the Premier League semi-final). Barney will be up against it, he knows that.
Phil is the master at breaking an opponent's defence at just the right moment, against Huybrechts and Van Der Voort his timing was impeccable, if he lands a ruthless body blow to Van The Man I'm not sure he'll recover. Barney has had to battle out three last-set thrillers in his last three matches matches, and constant pressure takes its toll on the mind.
Back Taylor -2.5 sets @ 1.728/11