The stats are in Mensur Suljovic's favour in his semi-final clash with Simon Whitlock this evening and Wayne Mardle recommends getting the favourite onside...
"This will be a quality contest. Both of them have the ability, but it's Mensur who is playing at the very peak of his career. At times, against Peter Wright, Mensur was unplayable, starting with ton plus scores on a regular basis."
Simon Whitlock v Mensur Suljovic
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Simon has had the odd blip, whilst Mensur's performances have been very similar in standard.
Mensur has the higher running average - that's nothing for Simon to worry about though as it's marginal, but the doubling percentages are in Suljovic's favour. He is getting away within the first three darts 92 percent of the time, and that's insanely high for someone in the semi-finals. Simon is operating at 80 percent. The finishing stats are similar - 50 percent for Mensur and 48 percent for Simon.
While the format is double start-double finish, the scoring phase of the game is so important. I think the game hinges on Simon being able to match and beat the consistent scoring of Mensur, who, as we know, has the superior double start and double finish stats. If that trend continues then 'The Wizard' will need to be brutally accurate on the 60-bed just to keep close order.
Mensur is one of the games best finishers, a trait that Whitlock was once renowned for.
This will be a quality contest. Both of them have the ability, but it's Mensur who is playing at the very peak of his career. At times, against Peter Wright, Mensur was unplayable, starting with ton plus scores on a regular basis.
I'm siding with Suljovic to win comfortably based on the big man's double hitting. Simon has been good at all aspects of his game, while Mensur has been great.
Suljovic was one-nil down against Wright, then reeled off three sets - to do that against a classy operator like Peter is some achievement. And ultimately I'm still unconvinced about Simon's composure.
Back Suljovic to win -1.5 sets @ 8/11 (Betfair Sportsbook)