Wayne Mardle on the PDC World Darts: Lewis can put it up to The Power

Wayne fancies Jamie Lewis to put up a fight against Phil Taylor
Wayne fancies Jamie Lewis to put up a fight against Phil Taylor
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Wayne was confident that Jamie Lewis would get past Darren Webster but the Welshman faces his toughest task to date against Phil Taylor on Saturday night...

"I personally don’t think Jamie will win, but I do believe, if he doesn’t regress to the mean, and that’s his mean prior to this event, he’ll think he can take 3-4 sets."

Jamie Lewis v Phil Taylor
Saturday, 19:50 GMT
Live on Sky Sports Darts

A word of warning, if you're of the opinion that Jamie Lewis may get routed, think again. Here's some statistical analysis to mull over.

Legs played - Phil 84, James 92
Phil's tournament average - 99.77
Jamie's tournament average - 99.35
180's scored - Phil has hit 21, Jamie 39
140's scored - Phil has hit 42, Jamie 67
Finishing percentages - Phil 51%, Jamie 46%
Jamie has also hit a 170 finish

I personally don't think Jamie will win, but I do believe, if he doesn't regress to the mean, and that's his mean prior to this event, he'll think he can take 3-4 sets.

Jamie is in uncharted waters, but he has been since winning his second round match against Peter Wright, and what a performance that was by the way! He's taking everything in his stride and is a cool customer. He doesn't waste too much energy by jumping around after hitting a 180, or winning a set.

This will be a difficult game for him though, playing Phil Taylor on the World stage is a task for any darts player, let alone a newbie to the Semi Finals of the world's biggest darts tournament.

If their performance traits continue, Phil will be loitering with intent in most legs. If he hits the two and three dart combination finishes with the regularity he has so far, he will win this match.

Anyway, I'm resting my confidence with the young man, he'll put up some resistance and give himself chances.

Recommended Bet
Back Jamie Lewis + 3.5 sets @ 4/5 (Betfair Sportsbook)

Michael Van Gerwen v Rob Cross
Saturday, 21:40 GMT
Live on Sky Sports Darts

Michael wins this, I'm not going to faff around giving you reasons he can lose. He will simply be too good too often.

Rob Cross is a world beater, he's proven already he has an obscene amount of ability, and can win anything, and maybe will win this behemoth of a tournament one day. But I just don't think he'll progress past Michael.

As for the betting, I've found a pearler - Rob is averaging 100.92 in this event. The spread is over or under 101.5, That's far too high!

This match is over the best of eleven sets. To sustain that kind of performance you need to throw with freedom, confidence and energy. Cross looked a little tired to me during and after the match with Dimitri Van den Bergh.

If you start losing focus in a long match it's not always easy to get it back, especially if you're chasing your tail.

Recommended Bet
Back Rob Cross to average Under 101.5 @ 5/6 (Betfair Sportsbook)

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