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Wayne Mardle: Lewis must concentrate if he is to be too hot for Ovens

Lewis needs to concentrate in order to beat Denis Ovens

"Ovens will dictate the pace, he will slow Lewis down that's for sure, and Adrian must concentrate to the very end otherwise he'll get dragged into the kind of contest that he doesn't really enjoy being in."

Two sessions of World Championship darts today and our man Wayne Mardle has provided analysis and selections in all six of the games...


Kevin Painter v Ronnie Baxter

I expect this to be a very close game as both players are very evenly matched. In previous years both Painter and Baxter have suffered the disappointment of losing a World Championship final (Baxter 2000, Painter 2004), but arguably both are better players now than they were back then.

Baxter's superior scoring might just be the deciding factor here. True, Ronnie misses doubles but his scoring is world class and I expect him to prevail in a final-set decider.

Selection: Back Baxter to win @ 2.3811/8


Mark Webster v Colin Lloyd

Both Webster and Lloyd played very well durig their first round victories and this should be another close game. He won't thank me for it, but I fear my old mucker Lloydy could lose out simply because Webster's 'off peak' games is slightly better than Lloyd's, and I'm sure Colin will have a few damaging troughs in this longer format match. Mark's consistency should see him through.

Selection: Back Webster to win @ 1.68/13


Raymond van Barneveld v Brendan Dolan

This is easy to predict. Barney to win and score the most 180s. And my reasoning isn't too hard to work out either; Barney is flying and has been propelled back into the reckoning again thanks to his brilliant Grand Slam win. He is full of confidence and basically, if he plays well he wins in a canter. Dolan is a trier but he won't be good enough to trouble the five-time world champion.

Selection: Back Barney most 180s


Wes Newton v Scott Rand

This could go a long long way. Both are confident young men and I'd be surprised if either won at a canter. I can't pick a winner with any confidence but I think over the 180s is a certainty. The longer the game the more maximums, it's not rocket science.

Selection: Back Over 9.5 180s @ 1.910/11 or better


Simon Whitlock v Colin Osbourne

A difficult one to predict the final score. Whitlock will win but at just 1.152/13 to back where's the value in that? The bet for me could be Whitlock to hit the highest finish in the match, maybe a 170. The Aussie regularly leaves the biggest out-shot of them all more than anyone, and he's not too bad at hitting it eitehr.

Selection. Back Whitlock the highest finish @ 1.51/2


Adrian Lewis v Dennis Ovens

The two-time and current champion of the world Adrian Lewis is not a certainty in this match. Ovens will dictate the pace, he will slow Lewis down that's for sure, and Adrian must concentrate to the very end otherwise he'll get dragged into the kind of contest that he doesn't really enjoy being in. I think Adrian will win BUT he has to play his own game and not be put off by the pedestrian pace of play.

Selection: Back Lewis to win 4-1


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22 December 2012

Darts

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