Premier League Darts Tips: Record suggests third MVG loss is value

Michael van Gerwen and Nathan Aspinall.
Who will be commiserating with who when Van Gerwen meets Aspinall?

Nathan Aspinall is one of the few players with a good record against Michael van Gerwen and Dan Fitch thinks he's underrated as he previews Friday's Premier League Darts.

"MVG was defeated 7-5 by Aspinall when they last met in the Premier League back in February and the head-to-head record stands at four wins each."

Back Aspinall draw no bet against Van Gerwen at 2.727/4

Premier League Darts - Night Ten
Friday 28 August
Live on Sky Sports Action

Rob Cross was eliminated from the Premier League on Judgement Night, as he lost 7-4 to Glen Durrant.

The impressive victory saw Durrant extend his lead at the top of the Premier League to two points, on a night when Michael van Gerwen lost his second successive match. Gary Anderson beat MVG 7-4, which saw the reining champion drop down to fourth.

There is now only a point separating Michael Smith in seventh, from Van Gerwen in the fourth play-off spot, with all eight remaining players having a chance of making the knockout stages, as we enter the second phase of the competition. MVG remains the favourite to hold onto his crown, but has come out to 2.727/4 to win the Premier League.

Duzza can break average total

Glen Durrant 2.486/4 v Gerwyn Price 2.3411/8; The Draw 4.3100/30
Start time 18:45

Kicking the night off is a mouthwatering match between Durrant and Price. Both players have been in scintillating form over the last couple of nights, with Price thrashing Jermaine Wattimena 7-0 on Thursday.

It's Price that's the slight favourite, which is slightly insulting to Durrant given his position in the league. Perhaps due to his reserved style, Durrant continues to be underrated. An example is the 10/11 available on the Sportsbook for Durrant to average over 98.5, which he has managed in three of his last four Premier League games.

Wright is the worthy favourite

Peter Wright 1.9720/21 v Gary Anderson 3.185/40; The Draw 4.57/2
Start time 19:30

Wright has been in very consistent form over the last three nights, taking five points from a possible six and moving up to second in the Premier League.

In contrast, Anderson has swung between being very hot and somewhat cold. On his day Anderson can beat anyone, but Wright's more reliable form makes him a worthy favourite at 1.9720/21.

Value lies with Aspinall

Nathan Aspinall 3.412/5 v Michael van Gerwen 1.9310/11; The Draw 4.77/2
Start time 20:15

Is it possible for Van Gerwen to lose three in a row? He was defeated 7-5 by Aspinall when they last met in the Premier League back in February and the head-to-head record stands at four wins each.

Backing against Van Gerwen most often feels wrong, but the value clearly lies with Aspinall here. You can back the Asp cautiously in the Draw No Bet market and still get odds of 2.727/4.

Smith can't stop scoring 180s

Michael Smith 1.910/11 v Daryl Gurney 3.211/5; The Draw 4.57/2
Start time 21:00

The bottom two in the Premier League meet, but Smith is very much in the mix for a play-off spot and even Gurney could get himself into contention if he found some consistency.

Smith has scored the most 180s in all three of the nights since the Premier League returned, adding 18 to make a total of 35. You can back Smith at 6/4 on the Sportsbook to win the match and score the most 180s.

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