Wayne Mardle gets stuck into tonight's Premier League darts action with a look at two matches on the card...
"Peter is bottom of the 180s chart while Daryl tops it. Daryl has mustered 63 maximums to Peters 27. Peter hasn’t beaten any of his opponents in the last 15 weeks in this market, and has failed to hit a single 180 five times across that period. He can’t beat the maximum master can he?"
Gurney on for a win/most 180s double
I feel that Daryl is right on the brink of another big win or a at least a deep run in a major. It's impossible to believe he'll make the play-offs next week - he'll need to inflict a huge win (7-0, 7-1) on Peter, and hope that Gary Anderson gets beat by a similar scoreline to Michael Van Gerwen - although any outcome is possible. I'm aware of that.
At the start of the Premier League, Gurney's failings on the outer ring were causing him inner angst. But since a tide change in that department he's been one of the most reliable performers, week after week he's produced world-class stuff.
Tonight he's playing Peter Wright, who I have to say I've had trouble reading recently. Peter has been Mr Consistency over the last four years but recently lacked that ability to replicate dart after dart.
Peter is bottom of the 180s chart while Daryl tops it. Daryl has mustered 63 maximums to Peters 27. Peter hasn't beaten any of his opponents in the last 15 weeks in this market, and has failed to hit a single 180 five times across that period. He can't beat the maximum master can he? The price of 10/11 on Gurney hitting more maximums seems a steal.
I also like Gurney for the game too. I think Daryl is full of confidence right now. He's strutting his stuff, he has a swagger and a aura of 'I can' about him. Peter seems a little inhibited to me.
I'll back Gurney to win and hit the most 180s @ 7/2.
Sick Smith may dip below the average
Michael Smith v Raymond Van Barneveld
I'm not even sure Michael Smith should be playing. Just yesterday he visited the doctors in pain, it transpires he has pleurisy. I hope he's OK for the Finals next week.
I'm not looking at the match market but the averages for tonight's bets. Smith to average over 97.5? That seems a little unlikely to me.
The situation is, Smith has already booked a spot for the finals next week in London. He has no need to compete in Aberdeen. I spoke to Michael last night and he said he'll fight on and won't let anybody down. That's an admirable decision, I like his work ethic.
Michael Smith is massively on the upgrade and is capable of spectacular stuff but he needs to be fit to perform. I just think averaging over the spread will be difficult.
Stat attack: Michael has averaged over 97.5 four times in 15 matches. I'm not saying he'll lose the match, I'm betting purely against his average. I'll back Smith to average under 97.5 at 5/6.