PDC Home Tour Betting: Wi-Fi dropout Anderson will win tournament

Nathan Aspinall and Gary Anderson.
Nathan Aspinall and Gary Anderson go up against each other in the PDC Home Tour Championship Group.
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Gary Anderson almost didn't enter the competition due to his weak Wi-Fi, but now Dan Fitch is backing him to win the PDC Home Tour...

"Anderson ran out as a 6-2 winner against Klaasen when they met on Wednesday night and holds a 14-7 advantage from past matches."

Back Anderson -2.5 against Klaasen at [2.2]

PDC Home Tour Championship Group
Friday 5 June
Live on Betfair Live Video

We're down to the final four players in the PDC Home Tour, with the remaining quartet competing in a round robin format to crown the tournament winner.

Gary Anderson and Jelle Klaasen qualified from Group A of the Semi-Final stage on Wednesday night. On Thursday, Jonny Clayton topped Group B, with Nathan Aspinall qualifying for the final in second place.

It's Aspinall who is the favourite at [2.64], having recorded the best overall average of the semi-finals with 102.94. The unbeaten Anderson is second favourite at [2.78], after being backed at a high of [390.0] when it looked like that he wouldn't be able to compete in the tournament, due to the weak Wi-Fi signal at his home. Clayton is third favourite at [5.8], ahead of Klaasen at [7.8].

Klaasen has recent home win over Aspinall

Nathan Aspinall [1.34] v Jelle Klaasen [3.25]
Start time 19:35

Before the Home Tour started, the PDC put on two Darts At Home events. The second was won by Aspinall, but he was defeated 5-4 by the runner-up Klaasen in the final game.

With that in mind, Aspinall seems much too short here. He had a very gruelling set of matches in the semi-finals, with all three of his games going to a deciding leg. Over 9.5 legs looks overpriced at 6/5 on the Sportsbook.

Clayton can score high average

Gary Anderson [1.61] v Jonny Clayton [2.56]
Start time 20:05

Anderson is the only remaining player to be unbeaten, but Clayton has only lost one game, which was a 6-5 defeat to Aspinall in the semi-finals.

Though Anderson is a worthy favourite he's too short to back. Clayton started the semi-finals with an average of 99.33 as he beat Rob Cross and you can get odds of 5/6 for him to average over 93.5.

Clayton will claim vital win

Jelle Klaasen [2.16] v Jonny Clayton [1.78]
Start time 20:35

Clayton holds the advantage in past encounters, winning two of their three matches, to Klaasen's one.

More importantly, Clayton has been more consistent in this competition than the Dutchman and is worth backing to win at [1.78].

Anderson can edge crunch match

Nathan Aspinall [1.87] v Gary Anderson [2.0]
Start time 21:05

This promises to be a very tight match between the two favourites. They drew 6-6 when they met in the Premier League back in March.

The value lies with the outsider Anderson, given his unbeaten record. Let's take a chance on him to edge a win while scoring the most 180s at 11/4.

Anderson will overcome handicap again

Gary Anderson [1.4] v Jelle Klaasen [3.5]
Start time 21:35

Anderson ran out as a 6-2 winner against Klaasen when they met on Wednesday night and holds a 14-7 advantage from past matches.

If you think that Anderson can win by a similar margin, back him with a handicap of -2.5 at [2.2].

Clayton and Aspinall to go long once more

Jonny Clayton [2.63] v Nathan Aspinall [1.56]
Start time 22:05

Aspinall just edged his semi-final match against Clayton 6-5, which was not a surprising result considering Clayton's form in this competition and the fact that they have two wins apiece from their four previous games.

It's hard to justify Aspinall's price and over 9.5 legs at 11/10 seems the safe bet.

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