James DeGale faces Caleb Truax in a rematch on Sunday morning in Vegas and Betfair's boxing betting analyst Frankie Monkhouse says there's joy to be had in backing the bigger price.....
"As a punter a bet on Caleb Truax makes plenty more appeal and for your stake money you’ll be getting the bigger price selection who grabbed a deserved win when the pair met last time, one now fighting on his own patch and on a run of victories"
James DeGale looks to avenge only the second defeat of his career when jumping back in with American Caleb Truax at the Hard Rock Hotel, Las Vegas in the early hours of Sunday morning. Chunky lost to the same opponent on a majority decision late last year but now seems confident he can right that wrong.
The Londoner told members of the sporting press that he was embarrassed with his performance in the first fight vs Truax but knows his career is now on the line and believes that will bring the best out of him. The betting thinks he's right but there's value in a repeat performance from the underdog. We look at where the smart money goes...
Favourite has won only one of last three
James DeGale's record moved to 23 wins against two defeats and a draw when losing to Caleb Truax at the Copperbox in front of his own fans last time and not only was he beaten, the majority decision verdict seemed rather generous on him according to many who sat through the bout. Dave Paris called it an even 114-114 from ringside but Benoit Roussel and Alex Levin knew better, handing in scorecards of 112-115, 112-116 respectively.
Do we put it down to an off-night from the Brit who, perhaps, rushed his recovery from injury? Or is DeGale a fighter at the beginning of the end of his career, plagued by injuries with hand speed slowing with a stop-start few years beginning to catch-up with him. It's true Chunky has boxed only 26 times - 183 rounds - in over nine years.
The form of the favourite's last three reads win-draw-loss with the spare positive coming over Mexican Rogelio Medina who has now lost nine times. The Badou Jack draw was a little harsh but he was never at the races in DeGale - Truax I and that may put some off his price to even the score. The Betfair Exchange makes James a [1.32] jolly with a points win [1.53].
Back the form fighter at the bigger price
As a punter a bet on Caleb Truax makes plenty more appeal and for your stake money you'll be getting the bigger price selection who grabbed a deserved win when the pair met last time, one now fighting on his own patch and on a run of victories. There are many shrewd heads out there who may choose to enjoy this live fight with a plucky outsider backed for interest stakes.
We will have to see the best of 34-year-old Truax again - maybe even better than we did in London - but it's difficult to ignore his opponent's constant battle with injuries and, for that and all of the reasons mentioned above, the underdog goes in as the value play. 7/2 Caleb wins is available on the sportsbook, which is more than enough to convince me, but those looking for more can have another points cheer at [6.8].
Back Caleb Truax to win @ 7/2 (Betfair Sportsbook)