James Eastham believes nothing can prevent the pre-tournament favourites getting their hands on gold medals in the football final at Wembley today.
"Brazil's games have been high-scoring all along."
Back over 2.5 goals @ 1.824/5
Mano Menezes' brilliant side have breezed through the competition in spectacular style, brushing aside all opponents that have stood in the way to reach today's showdown. After cruising through the group stages with a maximum nine points out of nine, they saw off Honduras in the quarter-finals and dismissed South Korea in the last four on Tuesday.
In the match odds market, it's impossible to oppose Brazil as Mexico's journey has been altogether less impressive. They are worthy finalists but dropped points in the group stages (they picked up seven points from a possible nine), then needed extra-time to overcome Senegal (4-2) in the quarter-finals before beating Japan 3-1 in a semi-final that was closer than that final scoreline suggests. Mexico have been an excellent back-to-lay selection in this tournament as some of the other leading sides in the outright betting (Spain, Uruguay and Great Britain) fell by the wayside early in the competition, but it's a leap too far to suggest they can win. Brazil are 1.574/7, Mexico 7.06/1 and the 90-minute draw 4.47/2. If the price on Brazil is too short, then I suggest you leave this market alone.
A smart place to look to try to make a profit on the final is the goals market. Brazil have been rampant throughout the tournament, scoring exactly three times in all five games to date. Star of the show has been Damiao, the competition's leading scorer with six goals, but others have weighed in as well. With Brazil's goals tally alone breaking the 2.5 goals barrier in every single one of their games, over 2.5 goals at 1.824/5 is an obvious selection.
Mexico's goals pattern is a little more difficult to read. Their early matches were low-scoring: all three of their group games had under 2.5 goals, with two of them featuring under 1.5 goals. Mexico kept clean sheets in all three matches. But the pattern changed in the knock-out stages as they were involved in that high-scoring encounter against Senegal (2-2 after 90 mins, 4-2 after extra-time) and then scored three times v Japan (3-1) in the last four. Having opened up in the knock-out phase Mexico are fully capable of contributing to a high-scoring encounter. That's why I'd consider over 3.5 goals at 3.02/1. This bet would have paid out in five of 10 games involving these two sides so far.
A final bet to consider is Brazil to score in both halves. This has happened in four of their five matches so far, whereas the price suggests it's much less likely to occur. Mexico will try hard to stop the Brazilian goalscoring machine but the favourites have been so impressive in front of goal this market is worth a small investment.