Wolverhampton Placepot: Thursday 18th March

Tipping / Timeform / 18 March 2010 / Leave a comment

Not an experiment as such, but time for something a bit different, namely a go-for-broke straight line. There are so few apparent angles at Wolverhampton this evening that we may as well adopt the risky-but-rewarding strategy of taking just the one in each race, hoping to maximise what's likely to be a low payout: it may only be a dividend of £10 to £20, but if you have that five or even ten times, that's well worth winning isn't it? Sounds easy in prospect, but now for the hard part of negotiating our way through:

"Pound for pound, Thunderstruck is the best fighter on the all-weather circuit, renowned for his ability to scrap out a finish, and he’s ideally drawn for an attacking ride"

5.45 - Lewyn is on a roll, but the feeling is that she's at the top of her peak whereas Fair Passion is just starting her ascent. The style rather than substance of her reappearance win at Southwell suggests Fair Passion has plenty more in her locker, and this sharp, turning track promises to suit her even better.

6.15 - The mere fact that Appalachian Trial is now hawking about in sellers says a lot about his dwindling ability and enthusiasm, and New Star is a far more solid placepot proposition, in the frame on all his starts this year, all round Wolverhampton.

6.45 - One may get past Thunderstruck, but we doubt two will. Pound for pound, Thunderstruck is the best fighter on the all-weather circuit, renowned for his ability to scrap out a finish, and he's ideally drawn for an attacking ride. What's more, main rivals Perpetually and December Draw aren't the types to relish a battle, the former clearly fragile and the latter prone to shirking it.

7.15 - The well-bred Beneath showed more than was seemingly expected (easy to back) when second, clear of the rest, in a course-and-distance maiden a fortnight ago, and a reproduction of that will be more than enough for him to get in the three, up against limited opposition.

7.45 - This is the 'biggy' in our opinion. My Mate Mal and Sedgwick dominate the market, with recent 1s next to their name, but this claimer isn't cut and dried, as neither are bombproof; My Mate Mal's good spell has come on fibresand, while Sedgwick's frailties will catch up with him sooner rather than later. Therefore, we'll take a flyer on the quirky-but-capable Quince who's close behind that pair on Timeform ratings and represents the in-form Jeff Pearce.

8.15 - I think they call this 'squeaky-bum' time. It's anyone's guess whether Replicator will back up his surprise (25/1) reappearance win at Kempton, but he won't get such an easy lead here with Dvinsky and Milne Bay in opposition, and they could set it up for a 'closer'. Topping our list is Methaaly who's in a lesser grade than usual, back down to his last winning mark, and has just the man for the job on board - George Baker.

Selections: 1 line (yes, 1 line!)
5.45: 4
6.15: 4
6.45: 7
7.15: 5
7.45: 6
8.15: 1