US Open Betting / Ben Caudell / 05 September 2011 /

Mardy Fish is in the form of his life and can reward at odds-against tonight, says Ben Caudell

Five Reasons to Back
Mardy Fish to defeat Jo Wilfried Tsonga @ [2.16]

Tonight's match between these two in-form top-ten players has all the makings of a real humdinger. This will be the first meeting between the pair, however all the stats favour an upset with Fish making it through to the quarter-finals.

• Mardy Fish comes into tonight's game with home advantage against the explosive Tsonga, having previously won 76% of his last 50 matches in the United States and ten of his last 11 at the US Open.
• Fish is in the best form of his life and will be buoyed by his preparations coming into the second week at Flushing Meadows, the 29-year-old has reached three finals (Atlanta, Los Angeles, Montreal) and one semi-final (Cincinnati) since Wimbledon. Mardy has one tournament win to his name this year and that was in Atlanta where he triumphed over fellow compatriot John Isner in three sets.
• Reaching a career high of no.7 in the world rankings two weeks ago (currently ranked at no.8) Mardy boasts a superior ranking, surface rating and match rating (Match Ratings assess form specific to the current tournament conditions and the opposing player; Match Ratings also takes head-to-heads into account).
• Fish has a winning record of 60% of his last ten matches played against top-20 ranked players on hard and in the United States, he has won eight of his last nine against big servers and 77% of all matches played on the hard courts this year, Tsonga has won 68%.
• Having lost to world no.1 Novak Djokovic in the fourth round of last year's US Open, Fish will not want to go out at the same stage with a potential quarter-final appearance against Roger Federer a big motivating factor. Fish will also take confidence by his tournament stats where he leads Tsonga in break points won, second serve points won, and first serve returns.

2-0 Lay of the day - Lay Caroline Wozniacki 2-0 v Svetlana Kuznetsova @ [1.88]
• Big-hitting Kuznetsova has two wins against the world No.1, defeating the Danish youngster at Indian Wells in 2008 and in Miami 2009.
• The Russian took a set off Wozniacki at the 2009 US Open eventually losing in a third set tie-break 2-6 7-6 7-6.
• Kuznetsova has a great record in New York winning 81% of her last 50 matches in the Big Apple, includes lifting the trophy in 2004 and reaching the final in 2007.

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