US Open Stat Attack: This Muller won't get mullered

US Open Betting / Ben Caudell / 06 September 2011 / Leave a Comment

Gilles Muller can avoid the three-set whitewash

"Muller has won ten of his last 11 matches at the US Open and reached the quarter-finals in 2008."

It should be a good day for players named Gilles according to Ben Caudell, who has been at the stats again

* Five Reasons to Back Gilles Simon to defeat John Isner @ [1.96]
• This will be the first time the Frenchman faces the 6ft9" giant, however Simon holds a superior World Ranking at no.12 compared with Isner who sits some way outside of the top-20 at 28
• Simon also compiles a better surface rating and match rating his predicted chance of winning tonight is between 50-60%.
• The flat-hitting counter puncher who is known to frustrate his opponents with his cat and mouse game, comes into this afternoon's match having won six of his last seven on hard-courts, five of his last six at the US Open, five of his last six in five set matches, and five of his last six when priced as a favourite ([1.5] - [1.99])
• Simon has brilliant stats against lower ranked opponents and big serves; he has won 90% of his last ten matches against players ranked below him and 77% of his last 50. Against big servers such as Isner in the past 12 months Simon as recorded 11 wins with just three losses.
• With three tournament wins under his belt in the past 12 months (Hamburg, Sydney, Metz) the Frenchman will be confident in the knowledge that he knocked out former US Open champion Juan Martin Del Potro in four sets out of this tournament - a player very similar to the lanky American.

3-0 Lay of the day - Lay Rafael Nadal 3-0 v Gilles Muller @ [1.53]
• Gilles Muller has had a relatively easy route into the fourth round dropping just the one set against Ernests Gulbis in round two whereas Nadal has struggled a little, famously suffering from cramps.
• Muller has won ten of his last 11 matches at the US Open and reached the quarter-finals in 2008.
• The Luxembourg native has one win over the Spaniard, Wimbledon 2005 and played out an extremely close fought match at the All England Championships this year losing the first two sets in tie-breaks.