US Open Stat Attack: Isner is not going to win this

US Open Betting / Ben Caudell / 09 September 2011 / Leave a Comment

"Andy Murray’s last 40 wins in Grand Slams have been won by more than 4.5 Games!"

Ben Caudell can't see any way John Isner will get anything from his US Open quarter-final against Andy Murray - here's why

*5 Reasons to Back Andy Murray to defeat John Isner -4.5 Games @ [1.55]
• Number four seed Andy Murray comes into tonight's match with a 2-0 head-to-head series lead over Isner, both wins in straight sets and by more than 4.5 Games (Hopman Cup 2011 - 6-4 6-2) (Australian Open 2010 - 7-6 6-3 6-2)
• The fiery Scot in on a good run of form of late, winning nine in a row in the United States, nine in a row on hard-courts, and four in a row when priced as heavy favourite, moreover he has a great record when up against big servers winning ten of his last 11 matches
• 50% of Isners last eight losses in Grand Slams when priced as the underdog have been by more than 4.5 Games, he has also holds a 3-7 losing record as an underdog and at Slams
• The American, who is ranked 24 places below Murray at 28 in the world, has lost seven in a row against top ten players, and six in a row when priced as a moderate underdog.
• Quite amazingly.... and the most important stat to take note of for this match-up, is the fact that Andy Murray's last 40 wins in Grand Slams have been won by more than 4.5 Games! Therefore the [1.55] to win by this same margin offers a great value bet.