ATP Tour Finals Betting / Ben Caudell / 21 November 2011 /

Andy Murray's group gets down to business at the ATP World Tour Finals today. Ben Caudell brings you the stats that matter ahead of Murray v Ferrer and Djokovic v Berdych

Andy Murray v David Ferrer
Six reasons to lay Ferrer +4.5 Games @ [2.1]
• Home favourite Andy Murray has only ever lost to David Ferrer on the Spaniard's favoured clay court surface. The fiery scot leads the head-to-head series 5-3.
• All five of Murray's wins against Ferrer have been on hard-courts; with four of those five wins by more than 4.5 Games.
• Only one head-to-head from the seven best of three set matches played between the pair has gone to a final set.
• Murray defeated Ferrer 6-2 6-2 at last year's World Tour Finals, a winning margin of eight games.
• Ferrer has lost four matches in a row at the ATP Tour World Finals.
• Murray has won 18 of 19 matches overall, four in a row in Great Britain, ten of the last 11 on indoor hard courts and 19 in a row when priced as a heavy favourite.

Novak Djokovic v Tomas Berdych
Five reasons to back Djokovic -3.5 Games @ 2.04
• 2008 World Tour Finals Champion Novak Djokovic has a commanding 7-1 head-to-head series lead over Monday's opponent Tomas Berdych.
• Djokovic, who has recently been suffering from a shoulder injury, stated not so long ago that he is serving at 100% and will be fully fit to compete in London this week. The Serbian loves playing in the capital where he has a great record of winning 76% of his last 50 matches.
• The world number one defeated Berdych in straight sets 6-3 6-3 at the O2 this time last year.
• Djokovic has won 37 matches this year by more than 3.5 games with only seven of his match wins being below this handicap line.
• From Berdych's last eight losses on indoor hard courts, all have been by more than 3.5 games.

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