ATP Tour Finals Betting / Ben Caudell / 23 November 2011 /

The man with all the stats, Ben Caudell, looks ahead to today's matches in London where neither favourite should win in straight sets.

4 Reasons to Lay Berdych 2-0 @ [2.26] (Janko Tipsarevic v Tomas Berdych - 14:00 Match)

•Janko Tipsarevic leads the head-to-head series 4-3 and includes two indoor hard court wins (Davis Cup 2010, Stockholm 2004) for the this year's alternate (he came in for the injured Andy Murray).

•The Serbian number two has a great record on indoor hard courts winning 72% of matches during the last twelve months, he has two indoor titles to his name in 2011 (Kuala Lumpur, Moscow ) and a final appearance in St. Petersburg.

•The stats on this surface also favour Tipsarevic to disrupt the Czech's qualifying prospects here today with a superior set win/loss record of 76% compared with Berdych at 53%, service points won 70%, 83% Service hold and 44% of return points won, Berdych is 65%, 82% and 35% respectively.

•Half the matches so far at this year's World Tour Finals have gone to a final set, with both players fighting for a place in the semi-finals, I can see this match also going the distance

5 Reasons to Lay Djokovic 2-0 @ [1.92] (Novak Djokovic v David Ferrer - 20:00 Match)

•David Ferrer has a surprisingly decent record against the world number one with four wins to his name. Although Djokovic leads the head-to-head series 6-4, Ferrer won the only meeting between the pair on Indoor hard-courts 6-4 6-4 in Shanghai 2007.

•During that same tournament in Shanghai, the Spanish number two also defeated Rafael Nadal, Andy Roddick and Richard Gasquet to reach the final as a debutant where he lost to Roger Federer. Ferrer's record in the Master Series Finals now reads 5-4 after his impressive win over Andy Murray on Tuesday.

•I doubt many tennis fans would associate David Ferrer with playing well on the indoor surfaces, however his recent form suggests otherwise. David has a 8-2 current record on indoor courts and a tournament win to his name, Valencia 2010.

•Furthermore, Novak's recent form has been less than convincing partly due to fatigue and possibly burnout as the tennis calendar draws to an end. Since his third Grand Slam win of the year at the US Open, Djokovic has played nine matches. Alarmingly three of those nine were retirements and more importantly, five went all the way to a third set.

•From Novak's four previous appearances at the Master Series Finale, Novak has lost his second match during the group stages three times.

'.$sign_up['title'].'

'; } } ?>

:

:

:

?

: