ATP Tour Finals Betting / Ben Caudell / 27 November 2011 /

Ben Caudell goes through all the stats for the last time this week to find the best bet ahead of today's final between Roger Federer and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga.

Reasons to back Federer to back Federer 2-0 @ [1.90]

•Federer holds a 7-3 head-to-head series lead over the 2011 Vienna and Metz tournament winner Jo Wilfried Tsonga.

•The former world number one and multi Grand Slam winner has triumphed in all three of their last three meetings played on indoor hard-courts and that also includes two match-ups played out on indoor hard in 2011 (London TMC 6-2 2-6 6-4, Paris Masters 6-1 7-6)

•Roger Federer needs one more match win to hit the jackpot of earning in excess of £1.6m and also the potential of regaining his number three spot in the world rankings and overtaking his nemesis Andy Murray.

•Seven of the head-to-heads played between the pair have been won by last year's champion Roger Federer in straight sets.

•The Swiss legend has impressively won twenty matches in a row played on indoor hard-courts, sixteen in a row overall, six in a row when playing against Top Tenners and five in a row when priced as a moderate favourite ([1.20]-[1.49])

•Roger Federer has won eleven of his last fourteen matches in straight sets

•The favourite to win this year's Wold Tour Finals holds impressive stats on indoor hard recording 100% of matches in the last 12 months, 73% of service points won, 93% of service hold, and 41% of return points won.

•Jo Wilfried Tsonga has lost four in a row when priced as a moderate underdog ([3.0] -[6.0])

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