US Election Odds: Clinton win has little impact on her chances of winning nomination

US Politics / Mike Robb / 29 April 2008 / Leave a Comment

Hillary Clinton is still the outsider in the race for the Democratic nomination according to Betfair customers, who make her [5.8] to overturn the delegate count and carry her party's banner into November.

This comes despite her solid win in the Pennsylvania Primary last night where she beat rival Barack Obama by 10 per cent. There has been no real change in the Betfair nomination market and nothing to suggest that last night's emphatic victory has had any significant impact on the outcome of the race overall other than to keep it rolling on.

Clinton was matched at a top price of [1.54] to win last night before being backed in to [1.11] yesterday morning. She also covered two of Betfair's handicap markets - those where Obama was given an imaginary +2.5 percent and +7.5 percent lead.

Obama remains [1.26] favourite on Betfair to win the nomination overall and is still [2.12] to be the next incumbent of the Oval Office, with John McCain in second at [2.68].

Pennsylvania was never going to break Obama's campaign but it sure could have made it. Betfair customers were never in any doubt that Clinton was going to win last night and they also had her winning by more than 7.5 percentage points.

The errors have been creeping into Obama's campaign over the last few weeks and who knows what would have happened had this not been so? All we know now is that the marathon contest will rumble on into May, with Indiana the next big win-or-bust primary for the Clinton campaign.

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