Betfair Betting Blog

Betting news and tips

Politics

Presidential Primaries: Betting outlook for the week ahead

US Politics RSS / Mike Robb / 28 January 2008 / Leave a comment

Michael Robb takes a look ahead to the Florida primaries...

With Barack Obama winning in South Carolina as expected on Saturday all eyes turn to Florida tomorrow. Like in Michigan, both the Democrats and Republicans have penalised the state for moving their elections ahead of Super Tuesday on February 5th. The Democrats have banned the Florida delegates from voting at the convention (in other words, they have ruled that the votes from Florida effectively mean nothing) while the Republicans have halved their impact.

Nevertheless the primaries are hugely important, especially for the Republicans. A win here could save a campaign or give one candidate the all-important edge going into Super Tuesday. Rudy Giuliani has staked all on doing well in Florida but it now looks increasingly unlikely that he is going to come anywhere but a poor third. He is currently given a 4.8 percent chance of success on Betfair at [21.0].

Favourite for the Republicans is Mitt Romney on [1.76] with John McCain slightly behind on [2.02]. McCain had been ahead in Florida until last week but Romney appears to be gathering pace across the board heading into the crunch week in the election, culminating with Super Tuesday next week. An average of recent polls shows a 0.1 point lead for Romney in Florida but Betfair suggests a stronger lead.

The Democratic contest looks to be far more routine. Hillary Clinton is a [1.09] shot, an implied 91.7% chance of victory, while Barack Obama is available at [11.0].


Visit the new Betfair Politics Zone launched for Super Tuesday: http://politics.betfair.com

Tags: Barack Obama, Florida primary, Hillary Clinton, John McCain, Mitt Romney, politics betting, Rudy Giuliani

Post a comment







£25 Free Bet Join Today

How to claim your free £25 bet:
1. Open your account (3 mins)
2. Make a deposit into your account and place your bets
3. If you lose any of your bets, we'll cover you up to £25
Free £25 Sports Bet, Join Today

$600 Free Poker Bonus Play Now

Get $600 Free for all new players. Just register a credit card to claim.
Join today and get your $600 Free at Betfair Poker

£50 Casino Bonus Play Now

100% deposit bonus up to £50 for all new casino players. Just join and play to claim.
Join Today. Click here to claim your £50 Casino Bonus

Refer and Earn Go

Earn substantial rewards every time you introduce someone new to Betfair, Betfair Poker, Betfair Casino or Betfair Games
Refer and Earn Today

Events Calendar
Related Sites

© Betfair 2007–9 | Contact Betting.Betfair team on: haveyoursay@betfair.com


Betfair is the Official Betting Partner of Manchester United and Barcelona Football Teams.
Betfair UK | Australia | Canada | Online sázení | Væddemål | Wetten | στοιχήματα | Apuestas | Paris en ligne | Ireland | Scommesse | Norge | Онлайн ставки | Vedonlyönti | Zakłady | Vadhållning | 网上投注 | Betting Education | Designed and implemented by Lift