Betfair | Super Tuesday State Profile: Tennessee

Super Tuesday State Profile: Tennessee

Democratic Primary Analysis:
We might just have a contest here in the Democratic race, where Clinton Currently leads Obama by 14 points in the latest poll. However, that poll was carried out before John Edwards dropped out of the race and as he polled 16 per cent in that same survey you would have to argue that Obama has a chance here. In all reality, if Obama has any aspirations to win the nomination overall he needs to get himself a victory here in Tennessee.

The allocation of delegates in this state is particularly complicated, with 50% of delegates appointed by district, which is further sub-divided into regions so that 25% of the state's total delegates are appointed proportionally and 25% for getting the most votes in the district as a whole. To complicate it further, the other 50% of the total state-wide delegates are appointed winner-takes-all to the candidate who polls most votes state-wide. Clear? No. Good - it's not just me then!

Republican Primary Analysis:
The Republican race is entirely up in the air as the latest polling showed a 12 point lead for Mike Huckabee over John McCain, but it was Fred Thompson who in turn led Huckabee by one point. The Betfair market currently shows Huckabee as the [1.3] odds on favourite, but with McCain at [2.12] and Mitt Romney at [2.44] this is very much a state that could go one of three ways.

Important information

- Timezone: GMT -5 (east) GMT -6 (central and west)

- Polls open: 11AM GMT

- Polls close: 12AM GMT

- Abbreviation: TN

- Delegates at stake: 85 (Democrats), 55 (Republicans)

Demographics

- White: 80.4%

- Black: 16.9%

- Other: 2.7%

Political history

- Senators: Lamar Alexander and Bob Corker (both Republican)