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August 2009 - The Betfair Prof

The Betfair Prof: "What does football forecasting have to do with Prussian soliders?"

What does football forecasting have to do with the number of Prussian soldiers kicked to death by horses? Thanks to Simeon Denis Poisson, the great scientist, mathematician and statistician, it has everything to with it....

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Leighton Vaughan Williams

26 Aug 2009

What happens when you call a glass half full when it is in fact half empty?

The prediction market master looks at the effects of 'optimism bias' with the help of Google......

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Leighton Vaughan Williams

18 Aug 2009