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October 2008 - The Betfair Prof

The Betfair Prof: "Is there a favourite-longshot bias in election betting markets?"

Is betting on Barack Obama now a sure way of seeing a 10% return on investment in a week's time? The Betfair Prof, Leighton Vaughan Williams, gives us his take in the guise of the...

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Leighton Vaughan Williams

28 Oct 2008

US Election Odds: Can 'Quarbs' help us predict the outcome of the 2008 Presidential Election?

The Betfair Prof, Leighton Vaughan Williams, talks arbitrage, 'Quarbs', buys, sells, polls and aggregation. With the US Presidential Election battle between John McCain and Barack Obama just around the corner, read on to hear why...

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Leighton Vaughan Williams

21 Oct 2008

Presidential Election Betting: Can polls tell you the winner?

What are the best sources for predicting presidential elections? Are polls saying the same thing as Betfair's prediction market? The Betfair Prof tells all......

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Leighton Vaughan Williams

17 Oct 2008

Predicting The 2008 Presidential Race: Do Americans vote for the best President?

The Betfair Professor, Leighton Vaughan Williams, on PollyIssues - a system that suggests Americans vote for the candidate they think will do the best job. Not sure how that explains George W Bush's two election...

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Leighton Vaughan Williams

7 Oct 2008