General Politics Betting : HID Politics

US Politics: Romney no sure thing for Republican nomination

Fri, 06 Jan 2012 19:19:58 +0000

Despite what the markets are saying, Jack Houghton believes Mitt Romney is a weak favourite for the Republican nomination. And whether he becomes his party's candidate or not, the Republicans will struggle to beat Obama in November.

Betfair: A bettor barometer of opinion

Thu, 05 Jan 2012 19:01:58 +0000

The following article was originally published in the Press Gazette in July 2006. It has been republished here as it is referenced in this article.

General Election Betting: Hung parliament odds-on & Betfair announce TV Debate Live Blog

Mon, 19 Apr 2010 11:54:42 +0000

Betfair markets show that election is wide-open after Nick Clegg's game-changing performance in the first Live Debate.

General Election Betting: Five reasons to buy Lib Dem Seats

Tue, 16 Mar 2010 11:44:30 +0000

He may have said he won't be the kingmaker in the election but Nick Clegg's Liberal Democrat party have the chance to make serious inroads at the General Election, says Nick Clegg.

General Election Betting: Fifty seats that will decide the election - seats 46-50

Sun, 14 Mar 2010 15:03:46 +0000

Paul Krishnamurty talks us through five more constituencies whose outcome could have a huge impact on the result of the general election.

General Election Betting: Boris Johnson offered chance to put our money where his mouth is

Mon, 01 Mar 2010 14:22:18 +0000

Boris Johnson stated his love for political betting in The Daily Telegraph today and Betfair have offered to place a bet of £1,000 on the Mayor's behalf on the outcome of the election, with all profits to go to a charity of his choice.

The outspoken Tory claimed Betfair is 'uncanny in its accuracy' and urged readers to watch the betting rather than the opinion polls, as he reacted to Sunday's news that the gap between his party and Labour could be a small as two percent.

What he didn't say, however, is that the odds of a Conservative majority have taken a notable dip on Betfair in recent weeks, now at 4-6 (an implied 60% chance) from 4-11 (a 71% chance) just three weeks ago.

Betfair has an incredible track record when it comes to political predictions, only predicting two states out of 50 wrong for the 2008 US Presidential Election.

Betfair spokesman Mike Robb said: "It's great to hear Bojo backing Betfair and its role as a source of predictions. However, there's no doubt the gap is narrowing in the betting as well as the polls, whatever Boris may think.

"So that the Mayor can back up what he says we will place any bet of his choice up to £1,000 on the election, with all proceeds going to a charity of his choosing.

"Come on Boris - put our money where your mouth is!"

To win majority at General Election - Betfair bet: 4-6 Conservatives, 15-8 No Majority, 14-1 Labour, 469-1 Any Other Party

General Election Betting: Gordon's fighting spirit - asset or liability?

Mon, 22 Feb 2010 16:37:38 +0000

David Cameron has talked about ending "Punch and Judy politics" but what about punch and moody? Paul Krishnamurty discusses what effect accusations of bullying against the PM will have on the election betting...

Fifty Seats That Will Decide The Election: 1-5

Fri, 05 Feb 2010 17:45:11 +0000

To win an overall majority, the Conservatives need to add 117 seats to their current total of 209, which has been calculated to account for the boundary changes since the last election. Paul Krishamurty has selected 50 constituencies that will be pivotal in their quest to reach that majority. Here are the first five.

General Election Betting: What does each party have to do?

Fri, 29 Jan 2010 09:38:05 +0000

Campaigning is effectively under way for the 2010 general election. Paul Krishnamurty sketches the scene.

Betting Challenge Week 12: Brown's exit may come later than you think

Thu, 29 Oct 2009 16:08:12 +0000

Common consensus about Brown's departure from the labour leadership may be wrong, suggests Jack Houghton, who thinks he's found the 'bet of the century'. While looking around the politicss markets he had a peak at the Glasgow North-East By-Election odds too

European Elections Betting: Another disastrous poll could tip Brown over the edge

Tue, 02 Jun 2009 11:04:07 +0000

A disastrous showing is predicted for Labour at the forthcoming Euro Elections but the proportional representation voting system should still see the ruling party rewarded, says Paul Krishnamurty.

Election Odds: Betfair's Mike Robb talks politics betting

Fri, 22 Feb 2008 14:20:00 +0000

Mike talks to Betfair Radio about the US election odds, the upcoming London Mayoral election in May and the new Betfair Politics Zone

Got an opinion? Click here for the Betfair Politics Zone

Cyprus Presidential Election Odds: Sitting President out of race as Kasoulides surges ahead

Tue, 19 Feb 2008 13:42:00 +0000

It may not be the most obvious political market to bet on this week, but it's active and it's swinging. Mike Robb takes a quick look at what's going on...

Election Betting: Betfair Launches Politics Zone

Tue, 12 Feb 2008 06:00:00 +0000

Betfair has launched a new Politics Zone giving unrivalled access to politics betting markets

Politics betting: much bigger than you thought it was...

Tue, 27 Nov 2007 17:35:25 +0000

Michael Robb explores the 'swingtastic' market odds on offer for those placing a political bet...